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Sat 19 Sept · 19:00

Ajax vs Excelsior prediction

Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Referee
Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
Form

Recent form

Ajax
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Excelsior
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
Yes

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

80%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Ajax welcome Excelsior to the Johan Cruyff Arena in round seven of the Eredivisie, looking to build on their recent 5-1 victory over Fortuna Sittard. Sitting fourth in the table with 13 points, Ajax have shown immense attacking potency across all competitions, netting 14 goals in their five recorded league outings, though their home defensive record has seen them concede five goals in two matches.

Excelsior enter this encounter positioned sixth in the standings with 10 points and have proven to be exceptionally dangerous on their travels. Unbeaten away from home with two wins and a draw, the Rotterdam side have found the net nine times in three away fixtures and have scored in every single match played this season.

Historical meetings between these two sides have produced relentless goal action. Each of the last ten head-to-head encounters has seen both teams score, with the fixtures producing an average of 5.1 goals per game.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. All of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between Ajax and Excelsior have resulted in both teams finding the back of the net.
  2. Neither Ajax nor Excelsior has failed to score in any league match this season.
  3. Excelsior are unbeaten away from home, scoring nine goals in three road matches.
  4. Ajax have conceded five goals across their two recorded home matches while averaging 2.8 goals scored overall.
  5. The historical head-to-head sample averages 5.1 total goals per match.
Availability

Team news

Ajax

  • S. AdingraLacking Match Fitness
  • S. BerghuisInjury
  • D. BlindBack Injury
  • Caio HenriqueThigh Injury
  • K. DolbergKnee Injury
  • A. GaaeiInjury
  • O. EdvardsenInactive

Excelsior

  • N. NaujoksInjury

Team news last updated Oct 11 (13 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ajax at homeExcelsior away
5
Played
5
1-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-1
2.2
Scored /game
2.2
1.8
Conceded /game
1.6
0%
Clean sheets
40%
0%
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 4.4 goals per game (Ajax at home plus Excelsior away).

Players

Key players this season

Ajax

  • J. Brandt6G
  • O. Gloukh4A
  • K. DolbergKnee Injury3A

Excelsior

  • I. Yegoian5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FeyenoordPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+2123
2AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)9+1020
3PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1519
4AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+1518
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
10Excelsior9-211
11Utrecht9-1011
12NEC Nijmegen9-110
13Sparta Rotterdam9-69
History

Head-to-head

6
Ajax
3
Draws
1
Excelsior

Ajax have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 5.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 100% of them.

  • 2026-02-01Excelsior2-2Ajax
  • 2025-11-22Ajax1-2Excelsior
  • 2024-04-24Ajax2-2Excelsior
  • 2023-08-19Excelsior2-2Ajax
  • 2023-01-29Excelsior1-4Ajax
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

72%61 won from 85 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
80%
Confidence

Both teams have scored in 100 percent of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Ajax and Excelsior, with those fixtures averaging 5.1 goals per contest. Furthermore, neither team has failed to score in any match this season. Ajax have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game at home, while Excelsior have scored nine goals across their three away fixtures.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.