BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 11
Venue
Al Majma’a Sport City, Madimaa
Referee
Abdullah Al Owaidan
Form

Recent form

Al-Faisaly FC
51Average

Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · -1 goal difference

Al-Nassr
78Strong

Last 4 matches · 3W-0D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Al-Nassr or Draw

BetGenius backs Al-Nassr or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Al-Faisaly welcome title-chasing Al-Nassr in round 11 of the Saudi Pro League. The hosts sit 14th in the standings with seven points from nine matches, having managed just one victory so far. Alexandre Mendy has supplied the primary attacking punch for Al-Faisaly with five goals, but defensive lapses have seen them concede 17 times.

Al-Nassr arrive in third place on 22 points, having recorded seven wins from nine matches. They have scored 20 goals across the campaign while conceding only seven. Creative options including João Félix and Ângelo, who each have three assists, have helped ensure Al-Nassr have scored in every league game this season.

Head-to-head encounters between these clubs have historically been lively, averaging 3.6 goals per game across the last ten meetings with 70 percent producing over 2.5 goals. While Al-Faisaly have drawn four of their nine games to remain competitive, the visitors hold a decisive statistical edge across all key metrics.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Al-Nassr have won seven of their nine league matches, collecting 22 points.
  2. Al-Faisaly have managed just one win from nine matches, drawing four and losing four.
  3. Al-Nassr have scored in every league fixture, averaging 2.3 goals away from home.
  4. The last ten meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 goals, with 70 percent exceeding 2.5 goals.
  5. Alexandre Mendy has scored five of Al-Faisaly's ten league goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Al-Faisaly FC at homeAl-Nassr away
5
Played
4
1-2-2
W-D-L
2-1-1
1
Scored /game
2.3
1.6
Conceded /game
1.3
20%
Clean sheets
—
40%
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
—
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Al-Faisaly FC at home plus Al-Nassr away).

Players

Key players this season

Al-Faisaly FC

  • Alexandre Mendy5G

Al-Nassr

  • Ângelo3A
  • João Félix3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)10+2127
2Al-NassrPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)10+1525
3Al-Qadisiyah FCPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)11+1425
4Al-Ittihad FCPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)10+1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahPromotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)10+1421
12Al-Hazm11-410
13Al Riyadh9-99
14Al-Fayha11-78
15Al-Faisaly FC10-97
16Al-FatehRelegation - Division 111-136
17Al TaawonRelegation - Division 110-134
18AbhaRelegation - Division 19-112
History

Head-to-head

3
Al-Faisaly FC
1
Draws
6
Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-23Al-Faisaly FC1-3Al-Nassr
  • 2022-01-15Al-Nassr4-0Al-Faisaly FC
  • 2021-08-19Al-Faisaly FC2-1Al-Nassr
  • 2021-05-05Al-Nassr4-3Al-Faisaly FC
  • 2021-04-04Al-Nassr0-1Al-Faisaly FC
BetGenius

Our record in Pro League

70%81 won from 116 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Al-Nassr or Draw
78%
Confidence

Al-Nassr have established strong momentum with seven victories and just one defeat from nine league matches, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per away fixture. In contrast, Al-Faisaly have won only once in nine outings and concede an average of 1.9 goals per match. Backing Al-Nassr on the double chance accounts for Al-Faisaly's tendency to split the points, having recorded four draws this season. Combined with historic head-to-head numbers that feature 3.6 goals per game on average, Al-Nassr are well positioned to avoid defeat in an open encounter.

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Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.