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Mon 12 Oct · 19:15

Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC prediction

Follow Al-Gharafa Follow Esteghlal FC Follow this match

Round: League Phase - 2
Venue: Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Al Rayyan
Referee: Alexander George King, Australia

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Al-Gharafa

35Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Esteghlal FC

70Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Esteghlal FC or Draw

BetGenius backs Esteghlal FC or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Al-Gharafa host Iranian side Esteghlal FC in the second round of the AFC Champions League Elite league phase, looking to bounce back from an opening 2-1 defeat against Al-Hilal Saudi FC. The Qatari side has endured a shaky patch of form across all competitions, losing three of their last five outings and repeatedly struggling to keep opponents at bay defensively.

Esteghlal arrive in Doha on a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions, having kicked off their continental campaign in style with a convincing 3-0 home victory over Al Sadd. The Iranian outfit has displayed organized defensive shape over recent weeks, conceding just two goals across their past five fixtures.

While Al-Gharafa possess home advantage, their defensive vulnerabilities contrast sharply with Esteghlal's recent resilience. With the Iranian club already holding an emphatic 3-0 win in the prior meeting between the two sides, the visitors enter this encounter with strong momentum to earn a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

Esteghlal are undefeated in their past five matches across all competitions, registering two wins and three draws.
Al-Gharafa have dropped three of their last five games across all competitions, conceding a total of eleven goals.
Esteghlal kept a clean sheet in their Champions League Elite opener, recording a 3-0 win against Al Sadd.
The sole previous head-to-head meeting between the two clubs ended in a 3-0 victory for Esteghlal.
Esteghlal have maintained strong defensive discipline, allowing only two goals across their last five competitive matches.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Al-Gharafa at homeEsteghlal FC away

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Played

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W-D-L

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Scored /game

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Conceded /game

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Clean sheets

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Failed to score

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80%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Players

Key players this season

Esteghlal FC

J. Asani2G · 1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Al Ain	2	+7	6
2	Esteghlal FC	2	+4	6
3	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2	+3	6
4	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	2	+2	6
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	2	+2	4
10	Al Shamal	2	0	2
11	Al-Ittihad FC	2	-1	1
12	Tractor Sazi	2	-1	1
13	Al-Gharafa	2	-2	0
14	Al-Wasl FC	2	-3	0
15	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	2	-4	0
16	Al Sadd	2	-5	0

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Al-Gharafa: 0
Draws: 2
Esteghlal FC

Esteghlal FC have won 2 of the last 2 meetings.

2026-10-12Al-Gharafa1-2Esteghlal FC
2024-09-16Esteghlal FC3-0Al-Gharafa

BetGenius

Our record in AFC Champions League Elite

61%19 won from 31 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Esteghlal FC or Draw

74%

Confidence

Esteghlal are unbeaten across their last five matches in all competitions, combining solid defensive organization with clinical finishing, as evidenced by their 3-0 win against Al Sadd in round one. They also defeated Al-Gharafa 3-0 in their previous continental clash. Al-Gharafa have lost three of their last five games in all competitions and conceded eleven goals in that span, making Esteghlal well placed to secure at least a point on the road.

Explore

Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Esteghlal FC

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in AFC Champions League Elite

1 published market

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