BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Alcains
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Vitoria Setubal
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Vitoria Setubal or Draw

BetGenius backs Vitoria Setubal or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Alcains host Vitoria Setubal in the Round of 128 of the Taca de Portugal, with both teams looking to advance in the national knockout competition.

Alcains enter this clash following a 1-0 home victory against Sertanense in late August 2026. Prior to that result, their early 2025 fixtures saw a difficult run of low-scoring defeats, including a 1-0 loss to Marinhense and a 2-0 defeat to FC Alverca II.

Vitoria Setubal come into the fixture on the back of an unbeaten two-game stretch in September 2026, recording a 1-0 away win against Lajense followed by a 2-2 home draw against Juventude Evora. The visitors have found the net in each of their four matches in August and September 2026, scoring six goals across that period.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Vitoria Setubal are unbeaten in their last two matches, picking up a 1-0 away win at Lajense and a 2-2 draw against Juventude Evora.
  2. Vitoria Setubal have scored in each of their last four matches across August and September 2026.
  3. Alcains kept a clean sheet in their recent 1-0 victory over Sertanense.
  4. Alcains were held scoreless in three of their last five recorded fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Alcains at homeVitoria Setubal away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Vitoria Setubal or Draw
64%
Confidence

Vitoria Setubal have shown consistent offensive output in recent weeks, scoring in all four of their late summer fixtures, including a 1-0 away victory at Lajense and a 2-2 draw with Juventude Evora. While Alcains secured a narrow 1-0 win against Sertanense in their opening cup outing, their broader run of form shows limited attacking production, having failed to score in three of their last five matches. Backing the visitors to win or draw accounts for Setubal's steady goalscoring form while respecting the tight nature of early-round cup ties.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.