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Fri 23 Oct · 12:00

Araz vs Qabala prediction

Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
Referee
A. Ahmadov
Form

Recent form

Araz
15Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -5 goal difference

Qabala
13Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -10 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Araz or Draw

BetGenius backs Araz or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Araz host Qabala in the Premyer Liqa in a contest between two clubs entrenched near the foot of the table. Araz sit twelfth with two points from eight matches, having registered two draws and six defeats. While they remain winless this season, both of their points have come at home, where they have drawn two and lost two with two goals scored and five conceded.

Qabala occupy tenth position with four points from eight rounds, compiling one victory, one draw, and six defeats. Their form on the road has been dismal, with three losses from three away outings, scoring just one goal while conceding six. In addition, Qabala enter this match on a four-game losing streak in league play, having conceded twelve goals across that span.

Head-to-head history at Araz gives the home team a notable edge. Across four historical meetings at Araz's ground, the hosts have never lost to Qabala, winning twice and drawing twice. Given Qabala's road struggles and offensive drought, Araz have an opportunity to secure a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Araz are unbeaten in four home meetings against Qabala, with two wins and two draws.
  2. Qabala have lost all three of their away league fixtures this season, scoring one goal and conceding six.
  3. Qabala are on a four-match losing streak in the Premyer Liqa, conceding twelve goals across that run.
  4. Qabala have failed to score in six of their eight league matches this season, averaging 0.4 goals per game.
  5. Araz collected both of their league points at home this season through two draws in four matches.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Araz at homeQabala away
4
Played
3
0-2-2
W-D-L
0-0-3
0.5
Scored /game
0.3
1.3
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 0.8 goals per game (Araz at home plus Qabala away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
6Turan8+214
7Şamaxı FK8+313
8Sumqayıt8-18
9Qabala9-117
10Imisli FK8-67
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)9-123
12ArazRelegation - I Liqa9-122
History

Head-to-head

3
Araz
3
Draws
4
Qabala

Qabala have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-23Araz1-2Qabala
  • 2026-04-25Qabala1-1Araz
  • 2025-11-30Qabala2-1Araz
  • 2025-08-30Araz2-1Qabala
  • 2024-05-19Qabala2-0Araz
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Araz or Draw
68%
Confidence

Araz remain winless after eight league games, but their home performances have yielded two draws from four matches, showing far more stability than on their travels. Qabala have failed to collect a single point on the road this season, losing all three away fixtures while scoring just once and conceding six.

Qabala also carry poor form into this encounter, having lost four league matches in succession and failing to score in six of their eight games overall. Historical encounters at this venue strongly favor the hosts, with Araz winning two and drawing two of four matches against Qabala. Backing Araz on the double chance provides coverage for both a home victory and a stalemate between two low-scoring attacks.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Both sides possess fragile defences that regularly concede multiple chances. Araz have conceded 17 goals in eight matches (2.1 per game), and all of their last five league games have featured at least two goals. Qabala have conceded 15 goals in eight matches and conceded four goals in each of their last two outings. Each of the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs has also produced at least two goals. Over 1.5 is favoured over Over 2.5 because Qabala have failed to score in six of their eight league games and average just 0.38 goals per game, while Araz have scored only twice across four home fixtures, making the leap to three or more goals insufficiently supported.

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Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.