BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Referee
Martin Velikov, Bulgaria
Form

Recent form

Arda Kardzhali
47Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Botev Plovdiv
96Excellent

Last 4 matches · 4W-0D-0L · +10 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Draw No Bet
Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet)

BetGenius backs Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Arda Kardzhali enter this fixture in formidable league form, having secured four consecutive victories in the First League, including a 2-0 home win against Botev Vratsa in their most recent outing. The hosts boast a flawless home record this campaign, winning all three matches at their home ground while scoring six goals and conceding only once. Their defensive solidity is further demonstrated by four clean sheets across seven league fixtures.

In contrast, Botev Plovdiv travel to Kardzhali enduring a difficult stretch, having lost their last three league fixtures. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with three defeats in three away matches and zero points earned on the road, where they have conceded six goals and failed to score in two of those fixtures. Sitting in ninth position on seven points, they face a stern test against a fifth-placed Arda side currently on 16 points.

Historically, encounters between these two clubs have favored tight, low-scoring affairs, with their ten-game head-to-head record averaging 2.2 goals per game and seeing under 2.5 goals on six occasions. With Arda controlling tempo at home and Botev struggling for attacking output on the road, the hosts hold a significant tactical and momentum advantage.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Arda Kardzhali hold a 100 percent winning record at home in the league, winning all three fixtures with a 6-1 aggregate score
  2. Botev Plovdiv have lost all three away matches this season, conceding six goals and scoring only two
  3. Arda are on a four-game winning streak in the First League, having kept three clean sheets across those four games
  4. Botev Plovdiv have lost their last three consecutive league matches, failing to score in two of them
  5. The head-to-head history shows an average of 2.2 goals per game across their last ten meetings
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Arda Kardzhali at homeBotev Plovdiv away
4
Played
5
3-0-1
W-D-L
2-0-3
2
Scored /game
1.6
1
Conceded /game
1.6
—
Clean sheets
20%
—
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
—
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Arda Kardzhali at home plus Botev Plovdiv away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2CSKA SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)11+1827
3LudogoretsPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)10+1426
4CSKA 1948Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)12+1225
5Botev PlovdivPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)12-119
6Arda KardzhaliPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11-217
7Spartak VarnaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11-413
8Slavia SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11011
9Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-119
History

Head-to-head

5
Arda Kardzhali
2
Draws
3
Botev Plovdiv

Arda Kardzhali have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-06-26Botev Plovdiv2-1Arda Kardzhali
  • 2026-05-12Botev Plovdiv1-2Arda Kardzhali
  • 2026-04-26Arda Kardzhali0-2Botev Plovdiv
  • 2025-12-02Arda Kardzhali0-0Botev Plovdiv
  • 2025-08-04Botev Plovdiv0-5Arda Kardzhali
BetGenius

Our record in First League

67%33 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Draw No Bet
Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet)
76%
Confidence

Arda Kardzhali have won all three of their home league matches this season, scoring six goals and conceding just one. Botev Plovdiv have suffered three defeats from three away games, conceding twice per game on average. While Arda have momentum from a four-match winning streak, the draw-no-bet market provides coverage against a low-scoring stalemate while firmly backing the in-form hosts.

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet) + Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet) — 76% confidence

Arda Kardzhali have won all three of their home league matches this season, scoring six goals and conceding just one. Botev Plovdiv have suffered three defeats from three away games, conceding twice per game on average. While Arda have momentum from a four-match winning streak, the draw-no-bet market provides coverage against a low-scoring stalemate while firmly backing the in-form hosts.

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Arda have conceded just four goals in seven league games, averaging a mere 0.3 goals conceded per home match. Botev Plovdiv have struggled to create on their travels, failing to score in two of their three away fixtures. Combined with a head-to-head record where 60 percent of their last ten meetings produced under 2.5 goals, this matchup points toward a lower-scoring contest.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (draw no bet and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
63%
Confidence

Arda Kardzhali have kept clean sheets in four of their seven league matches this season, including two out of three at home. Botev Plovdiv have been shut out in two of their three away matches, scoring only twice on the road overall. These defensive and offensive metrics suggest at least one team is likely to be kept off the scoresheet.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Arda have conceded just four goals in seven league games, averaging a mere 0.3 goals conceded per home match. Botev Plovdiv have struggled to create on their travels, failing to score in two of their three away fixtures. Combined with a head-to-head record where 60 percent of their last ten meetings produced under 2.5 goals, this matchup points toward a lower-scoring contest.

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Published September 2, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.