BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 22
Venue
Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Form

Recent form

Arsenal
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Baranovichi
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Baranovichi or Draw

BetGenius backs Baranovichi or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Arsenal and Baranovichi meet in matchday 22 of the Premier League with just two points separating them in the middle of the table. The hosts enter this encounter in 12th position with 22 points, looking to arrest a difficult stretch that has seen them go winless across their last five league fixtures.

Baranovichi sit one spot higher in 11th place on 24 points and carry far superior recent momentum into the contest. The visitors have collected back-to-back victories against Dinamo Minsk and FC Dnepr Mogilev, having suffered only one defeat in their previous five league matches.

The reverse fixture between these sides in May ended in a 1-1 draw. Given Arsenal's defensive vulnerabilities at home, where they have conceded 19 goals in 10 matches, Baranovichi will view this as an opportunity to extend their positive run on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Baranovichi are unbeaten in their last three league matches with consecutive wins against Dinamo Minsk and FC Dnepr Mogilev.
  2. Arsenal have managed only one point from their last five league fixtures, suffering four defeats in that stretch.
  3. Arsenal have lost six of their 10 home matches in the league, allowing an average of 1.9 goals per game at home.
  4. The earlier league meeting between the sides this season finished in a 1-1 draw in May.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Arsenal at homeBaranovichi away
11
Played
11
2-3-6
W-D-L
3-3-5
1
Scored /game
0.7
1.7
Conceded /game
1.5
27%
Clean sheets
27%
36%
Failed to score
64%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Arsenal at home plus Baranovichi away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8FC Minsk26-334
9Torpedo Zhodino25-133
10Slavia Mozyr25-428
11Baranovichi26-1628
12Arsenal25-2023
13Bate Borisov25-1321
14BelshinaVysshaya Liga (Relegation)24-1921
15FC Dnepr MogilevRelegation - Pershaya Liga25-1619
History

Head-to-head

4
Arsenal
2
Draws
1
Baranovichi

Arsenal have won 4 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, 71% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-08Baranovichi1-1Arsenal
  • 2026-02-07Arsenal0-4Baranovichi
  • 2023-10-28Arsenal3-0Baranovichi
  • 2023-06-24Baranovichi2-2Arsenal
  • 2021-10-16Arsenal2-0Baranovichi
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

55%33 won from 60 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Baranovichi or Draw
68%
Confidence

Baranovichi arrive in strong form with two consecutive victories, including a 1-0 away win against Dinamo Minsk and a 2-1 home triumph over FC Dnepr Mogilev. In contrast, Arsenal have collected just one point from their last five league matches while conceding 11 goals across that span. Arsenal have also struggled at home this season, losing six of their 10 league fixtures on home soil. With the earlier league meeting this season ending level at 1-1, Baranovichi appear well-positioned to take at least a point from this trip.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.