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Sat 5 Sept · 19:45

AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction

Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee
Andrea Colombo, Italy
Form

Recent form

AS Roma
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +5 goal difference

Atalanta
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Atalanta or Draw

BetGenius backs Atalanta or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

AS Roma welcome Atalanta to the Stadio Olimpico in an early-season top-table Serie A clash, with both sides carrying six points from their opening fixtures. Roma opened their home campaign in emphatic fashion with a 4-0 victory over Fiorentina, but they face a much sterner tactical test against a disciplined Atalanta side.

Atalanta arrive in strong defensive rhythm, having secured consecutive league victories against Sassuolo and Bologna while conceding just one goal in the process. The visitors have also managed clean sheets in three of their last four outings across all competitions, demonstrating their trademark defensive resilience.

Recent historical meetings heavily favor the Bergamo outfit, who have held the upper hand in this fixture over recent seasons. With both teams defending organized setups and key absentees on both sides, this matchup projects to be a tightly contested tactical affair.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Atalanta have won six and drawn two of their last ten head-to-head encounters with AS Roma.
  2. Atalanta have avoided defeat in four of their previous five visits to AS Roma, claiming two wins and two draws.
  3. Under 2.5 total goals has landed in 60 percent of the last ten meetings between these two teams.
  4. Atalanta have allowed just one goal across their first two Serie A matches this season.
  5. AS Roma are without several key first-team players including Lorenzo Pellegrini and Evan Ndicka due to injury.
Availability

Team news

AS Roma

  • M. BahJumpers Knee

Atalanta

  • I. HienMuscle Bruise
Numbers

Statistical comparison

AS Roma at homeAtalanta away
4
Played
3
3-1-0
W-D-L
0-0-3
2.5
Scored /game
1
0.8
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (AS Roma at home plus Atalanta away).

Players

Key players this season

AS Roma

  • D. Malen6G
  • P. Dybala4A

Atalanta

  • N. Krstović4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1InterChampions League league stage7+1219
2LazioChampions League league stage7+1019
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
History

Head-to-head

2
AS Roma
2
Draws
6
Atalanta

Atalanta have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-09-05AS Roma2-1Atalanta
  • 2026-04-18AS Roma1-1Atalanta
  • 2026-01-03Atalanta1-0AS Roma
  • 2025-05-12Atalanta2-1AS Roma
  • 2024-12-02AS Roma0-2Atalanta
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

68%84 won from 123 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Atalanta or Draw
70%
Confidence

Atalanta have a commanding head-to-head record against AS Roma, winning six of the last ten meetings between the sides and losing only twice. Furthermore, Atalanta have avoided defeat in four of their last five trips to the Stadio Olimpico, recording two wins and two draws. Roma are missing influential personnel in Lorenzo Pellegrini and Evan Ndicka, which diminishes their midfield control and defensive depth. Atalanta enter this fixture in solid form having conceded just once in their opening two league matches, providing them with a strong foundation to secure at least a point.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.