AS Roma have dominated home head-to-head fixtures against Fiorentina, winning 4 and drawing 1 of the last 5 meetings at home. With head-to-head fixtures averaging 3.1 goals per game and a 60% Over 2.5 rate, backing Roma to avoid defeat alongside a lively total goal count is supported by the data.
AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 1
- Venue
- Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Referee
- Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs AS Roma or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
AS Roma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A action. Both sides enter this fixture having experienced high-scoring preparation matches, with Roma recording recent results such as a 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund and a 3-3 draw against Cannes, while Fiorentina picked up a 4-1 victory over Benevento and a 2-2 draw with Real Madrid.
Historical head-to-head statistics heavily favor AS Roma when hosting this encounter. In their last five home meetings against Fiorentina, Roma have remained unbeaten, securing four victories and one draw, including a decisive 4-0 triumph in their most recent encounter in May 2026.
Both squads deal with fitness issues heading into the match. Roma are without M. Bah and L. Pellegrini due to knee and thigh injuries, respectively. Fiorentina will be missing F. Parisi due to a knee injury and R. Sottil due to a back problem.
Key factors
- AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 home head-to-head clashes with Fiorentina (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The most recent head-to-head meeting ended in a 4-0 home victory for AS Roma in May 2026.
- The last 10 head-to-head fixtures have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with 60% producing over 2.5 goals.
- AS Roma are missing M. Bah (knee) and L. Pellegrini (thigh).
- Fiorentina are without F. Parisi (knee) and R. Sottil (back).
Team news
AS Roma
- M. BahJumpers Knee
Fiorentina
- R. SottilBack Injury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 4.2 goals per game (AS Roma at home plus Fiorentina away).
Key players this season
AS Roma
- D. Malen6G
- P. Dybala4A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | InterChampions League league stage | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | LazioChampions League league stage | 7 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | AS RomaChampions League league stage | 7 | +13 | 17 |
| 4 | AC MilanChampions League league stage | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | ComoEuropa League league stage | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | FrosinonePlay-offs | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | FiorentinaRelegation | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 | ParmaRelegation | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | VeneziaRelegation | 7 | -10 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 5
- AS Roma
- 2
- Draws
- 3
- Fiorentina
AS Roma have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-08-24AS Roma4-0Fiorentina
- 2026-05-04AS Roma4-0Fiorentina
- 2025-10-05Fiorentina1-2AS Roma
- 2025-05-04AS Roma1-0Fiorentina
- 2024-10-27Fiorentina5-1AS Roma
Our record in Serie A
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

