BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 33
Venue
Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei
Referee
Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn
Form

Recent form

Athletic Club
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Londrina
20Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw

BetGenius backs Athletic Club or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Athletic Club sit mid‑table in 15th place with 42 points, just five points clear of relegation, while Londrina linger in 18th with 28 points and are entrenched in the drop zone. Both sides have struggled to find the net, averaging about 1.2 goals per game, but Athletic concede slightly fewer goals (1.2 per game) than Londrina (1.5 per game).\n\nRecent form favours the home side: Athletic have managed a win in their last five matches after two defeats and two draws, whereas Londrina have suffered four losses from their last five outings, their only win a 6‑0 home thrashing of Ponte Preta.\n\nHead‑to‑head meetings have been dominated by Athletic, who have won three of the four recent fixtures, including a 2‑0 home victory in June. Those clashes have been relatively open, with an average of 3.25 goals per game and both sides scoring in three‑quarters of the meetings, suggesting the encounter could produce over 2.5 goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Athletic sit five points above Londrina and have a superior points total (42 vs 28)
  2. Athletic have a marginally better defensive record (1.2 GA per game vs 1.5)
  3. Recent form: Athletic 1‑2‑2 in last five, Londrina 1‑0‑4
  4. Head‑to‑head: Athletic won three of four recent meetings, most recent 2‑0 home win
  5. H2H games averaged 3.25 goals with 75% BTTS and 75% over 2.5 goals
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Athletic Club at homeLondrina away
17
Played
17
6-6-5
W-D-L
3-3-11
1.2
Scored /game
1.1
1.1
Conceded /game
1.7
29%
Clean sheets
0%
24%
Failed to score
35%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Athletic Club at home plus Londrina away).

Players

Key players this season

Londrina

  • Bruno Santos11G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
11Cuiaba34+547
12São Bernardo34+946
13Botafogo SP34044
14Athletic Club34+144
15Nautico Recife34-343
16Ceara34-543
17AvaiRelegation34-1037
18LondrinaRelegation34-632
19America MineiroRelegation34-3220
20Ponte PretaRelegation34-5514
History

Head-to-head

3
Athletic Club
0
Draws
1
Londrina

Athletic Club have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.

  • 2026-06-20Londrina2-0Athletic Club
  • 2024-10-05Athletic Club2-1Londrina
  • 2024-09-02Londrina2-3Athletic Club
  • 2024-07-13Athletic Club2-1Londrina
BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
70%
Confidence

Athletic enjoy a clear points advantage and a better overall record, plus a 3‑1 edge in the recent head‑to‑head. Londrina’s recent run of defeats and poorer defensive record increase the likelihood that Athletic will avoid defeat. The H2H sample shows a high proportion of games with both sides scoring and over 2.5 goals, supporting the over‑2.5 expectation in this prediction.

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Published October 13, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.