Athletic enjoy a clear points advantage and a better overall record, plus a 3‑1 edge in the recent head‑to‑head. Londrina’s recent run of defeats and poorer defensive record increase the likelihood that Athletic will avoid defeat. The H2H sample shows a high proportion of games with both sides scoring and over 2.5 goals, supporting the over‑2.5 expectation in this prediction.
Athletic Club vs Londrina prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 33
- Venue
- Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei
- Referee
- Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -6 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Athletic Club or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Athletic Club sit mid‑table in 15th place with 42 points, just five points clear of relegation, while Londrina linger in 18th with 28 points and are entrenched in the drop zone. Both sides have struggled to find the net, averaging about 1.2 goals per game, but Athletic concede slightly fewer goals (1.2 per game) than Londrina (1.5 per game).\n\nRecent form favours the home side: Athletic have managed a win in their last five matches after two defeats and two draws, whereas Londrina have suffered four losses from their last five outings, their only win a 6‑0 home thrashing of Ponte Preta.\n\nHead‑to‑head meetings have been dominated by Athletic, who have won three of the four recent fixtures, including a 2‑0 home victory in June. Those clashes have been relatively open, with an average of 3.25 goals per game and both sides scoring in three‑quarters of the meetings, suggesting the encounter could produce over 2.5 goals.
Key factors
- Athletic sit five points above Londrina and have a superior points total (42 vs 28)
- Athletic have a marginally better defensive record (1.2 GA per game vs 1.5)
- Recent form: Athletic 1‑2‑2 in last five, Londrina 1‑0‑4
- Head‑to‑head: Athletic won three of four recent meetings, most recent 2‑0 home win
- H2H games averaged 3.25 goals with 75% BTTS and 75% over 2.5 goals
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Athletic Club at home plus Londrina away).
Key players this season
Londrina
- Bruno Santos11G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cuiaba | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 34 | +9 | 46 |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 34 | +1 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | AvaiRelegation | 34 | -10 | 37 |
| 18 | LondrinaRelegation | 34 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 | America MineiroRelegation | 34 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte PretaRelegation | 34 | -55 | 14 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Athletic Club
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Londrina
Athletic Club have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.
- 2026-06-20Londrina2-0Athletic Club
- 2024-10-05Athletic Club2-1Londrina
- 2024-09-02Londrina2-3Athletic Club
- 2024-07-13Athletic Club2-1Londrina
Our record in Serie B
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 13, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

