BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Form

Recent form

AVS
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Moreirense
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Moreirense or Draw

BetGenius backs Moreirense or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

AVS host Moreirense in the Round of 64 of the Taca de Portugal, bringing together two sides familiar with each other from recent domestic clashes. AVS enter the tie carrying positive momentum, having earned three wins from their last five matches across all competitions, including a 2-1 victory over Penafiel and a 2-0 cup triumph against Sintrense.

Moreirense come into the tie seeking consistency after recording one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five matches. While recent results include setbacks against Gil Vicente, Benfica, and FC Porto, the visitors have regularly tested themselves against top-tier opposition and earned a credible 1-1 draw at Vitoria SC.

Past meetings between the two clubs strongly favour the visitors. Moreirense are undefeated in five previous head-to-head encounters against AVS, claiming two wins alongside three draws. With knockout dynamics naturally encouraging tactical discipline, another competitive meeting is in store.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Moreirense are unbeaten in all five historical meetings against AVS, recording two wins and three draws.
  2. Moreirense won both previous meetings hosted by AVS, keeping clean sheets in 2-0 and 3-0 victories.
  3. AVS have shown solid defensive resilience in recent outings, conceding only three goals across their last five matches.
  4. Head-to-head encounters between these teams average 2.2 goals per game, with 60 percent finishing under the 2.5 goal mark.
  5. Moreirense have faced demanding opposition in recent weeks, including competitive away performances at FC Porto and Vitoria SC.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

AVS at homeMoreirense away
—
Played
4
—
W-D-L
1-1-2
—
Scored /game
0.8
—
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

1
AVS
3
Draws
2
Moreirense

Moreirense have won 2 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17AVS1-0Moreirense
  • 2026-07-18Moreirense2-2AVS
  • 2026-05-16Moreirense0-0AVS
  • 2026-01-03AVS0-2Moreirense
  • 2025-05-17AVS0-3Moreirense
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Moreirense or Draw
70%
Confidence

Moreirense hold an established record against AVS, remaining unbeaten across five previous meetings with two victories and three draws. Crucially, both past meetings hosted by AVS ended in away victories for Moreirense by 2-0 and 3-0 margins. Although AVS enter this knockout tie in solid form with three wins from five outings, Moreirense's recent losses came against high-calibre opponents such as FC Porto and Benfica. The historical matchup strongly indicates that Moreirense are well equipped to avoid defeat in normal time, while the 2.2 goals per game average across past meetings supports a measured, low-scoring outcome.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.