BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar), Alkmaar
Referee
Alex Bos
Form

Recent form

AZ Alkmaar
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Twente
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +10 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar or Draw

BetGenius backs AZ Alkmaar or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Second-placed AZ Alkmaar host fifth-placed Twente in a high-profile Eredivisie fixture at the AFAS Stadion, with just three points separating the two sides after nine rounds. AZ have gathered 20 points with six wins, two draws, and a single defeat, remaining unbeaten on home soil where they have conceded just three goals in four league fixtures.

Twente travel with 17 points having recorded five victories, two draws, and two defeats. While effective at home, their away campaign has yielded only one win from four trips, alongside two draws and one defeat. Both sides enter the clash on the back of European victories on October 22, with AZ defeating Ararat-Armenia 4-0 and Twente winning 4-1 against Lincoln Red Imps FC.

Recent head-to-head history favours the hosts when playing in Alkmaar. Twente have failed to win any of their previous six away visits to AZ across all competitions, recording two draws and four defeats. With both teams averaging roughly two goals scored per match in league play, an open encounter is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten at home in the Eredivisie this season, winning three and drawing one with a goal difference of plus six.
  2. Twente have failed to win any of their last six visits to AZ Alkmaar, suffering four defeats and earning two draws.
  3. Twente have recorded zero clean sheets in their four away league games this campaign, managing only one victory on the road.
  4. The last ten meetings between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.0 goals per game, with 70 percent exceeding 2.5 goals.
  5. AZ Alkmaar average 2.3 goals scored per home match, while Twente enter without goalkeeper L. Unnerstall.
Availability

Team news

AZ Alkmaar

  • J. HornkampInjury
  • S. ResinkKnee Injury
  • K. SmitInjury
  • J. ClasieKnock

Twente

  • S. LemkinMuscle Injury
  • M. BrunsInactive
  • F. ThorvaldsenInactive
  • L. UnnerstallInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

AZ Alkmaar at homeTwente away
4
Played
4
3-1-0
W-D-L
1-2-1
2.3
Scored /game
1.8
0.8
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 4.1 goals per game (AZ Alkmaar at home plus Twente away).

Players

Key players this season

AZ Alkmaar

  • M. Chávez3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FeyenoordPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+2123
2AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)9+1020
3PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1519
4AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+1518
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
History

Head-to-head

5
AZ Alkmaar
2
Draws
3
Twente

AZ Alkmaar have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-05-03AZ Alkmaar2-2Twente
  • 2026-02-03AZ Alkmaar2-1Twente
  • 2025-11-30Twente1-0AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-05-25AZ Alkmaar3-2Twente
  • 2025-05-14Twente2-3AZ Alkmaar
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

71%60 won from 84 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar or Draw
76%
Confidence

AZ Alkmaar possess a robust home foundation in the Eredivisie this season, having picked up ten points from a possible twelve with three wins and one draw, scoring nine goals and conceding three. Their historical superiority in this exact fixture is pronounced, as they remain unbeaten across the last six home matches against Twente with four wins and two draws.

Twente have shown defensive vulnerabilities outside of Enschede, conceding five goals and failing to register a clean sheet in four away league matches. The visitors are also without goalkeeper L. Unnerstall, alongside inactive and injured players M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, and F. Thorvaldsen. While AZ Alkmaar deal with their own absences including J. Clasie, S. Resink, and J. Hornkamp, their offensive firepower of 2.3 goals per home game positions them strongly to secure at least a point.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.