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Sun 11 Oct · 22:30

Cuiaba vs Avai prediction

Round
Regular Season - 33
Venue
Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba
Referee
Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Cuiaba
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +1 goal difference

Avai
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cuiaba or Draw

BetGenius backs Cuiaba or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Cuiaba welcome relegation-threatened Avai to the Arena Pantanal in round 33 of Serie B. The hosts enter this fixture in 10th position with 47 points, anchored by one of the division's sturdiest home defensive records. In 16 home fixtures, Cuiaba have conceded just nine goals and recorded nine clean sheets, losing on only two occasions in front of their supporters.

Avai travel in difficult circumstances, sitting 17th in the table with 33 points and occupying a spot in the relegation zone. Their travel form has been an ongoing issue throughout the campaign, yielding 11 defeats from 16 away matches alongside 27 goals conceded. Although they secured a 2-1 home victory over Londrina in their previous outing, reproducing positive results on the road remains an uphill battle.

Head-to-head history also favours the hosts at this venue, where Cuiaba are unbeaten against Avai with two victories and one draw across three past encounters. With Cuiaba having won their last two home matches against Nautico Recife and Ponte Preta by aggregate score of 5-0, the balance of probabilities leans towards the home side controlling proceedings.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Cuiaba have avoided defeat in 14 of their 16 home league games, conceding only nine goals at home.
  2. Avai have lost 11 of their 16 away matches, conceding 27 goals on their travels.
  3. Cuiaba have kept nine clean sheets in 16 home matches this season.
  4. Cuiaba are unbeaten at home in head-to-head fixtures against Avai, with two wins and one draw.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Cuiaba at homeAvai away
17
Played
17
7-7-3
W-D-L
4-2-11
1.1
Scored /game
0.9
0.6
Conceded /game
1.6
53%
Clean sheets
18%
29%
Failed to score
29%
0%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Cuiaba at home plus Avai away).

Players

Key players this season

Avai

  • Jean Lucas6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8Sport Recife34+851
9Goias34-649
10Operario-PR34-248
11Cuiaba34+547
12São Bernardo34+946
13Botafogo SP34044
14Athletic Club34+144
15Nautico Recife34-343
16Ceara34-543
17AvaiRelegation34-1037
18LondrinaRelegation34-632
19America MineiroRelegation34-3220
20Ponte PretaRelegation34-5514
History

Head-to-head

4
Cuiaba
1
Draws
3
Avai

Cuiaba have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 38% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-11Cuiaba0-1Avai
  • 2026-06-21Avai1-0Cuiaba
  • 2025-08-10Avai2-0Cuiaba
  • 2025-04-11Cuiaba2-2Avai
  • 2022-10-27Cuiaba1-0Avai
BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Cuiaba or Draw
76%
Confidence

Cuiaba have lost only two of their 16 home matches this season, compiling seven wins and seven draws while conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per game. Avai have struggled heavily away from home, suffering 11 defeats in 16 road trips and allowing 1.7 goals per contest. Given Cuiaba's propensity for draws—having drawn 14 times overall—backing the home double chance accounts for both a home victory and a potential stalemate. Additionally, Cuiaba have never lost at home against Avai in three previous meetings.

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Published October 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.