Both clubs have defensive vulnerabilities that point to multiple goals, but reaching a third goal is difficult to back with conviction. Degerfors concede an average of 1.4 goals per match at home and have let in 35 goals across 23 league rounds. Kalmar have been exceptionally brittle away from home, conceding 20 times in 12 road fixtures at a rate of 1.7 per match. However, Kalmar have scored only seven away goals all season and failed to score in their last four recorded matches, making an Over 2.5 selection too demanding on their attack. Six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these teams have produced at least two goals, making Over 1.5 the line that aligns with the balance of defensive frailty and Kalmar's current scoring limitations.
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 24
- Venue
- Stora Valla, Degfors
- Referee
- Mohammed Al-Hakim
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -4 goal difference
Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -5 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 1.5 Goals.
Match preview
Degerfors IF host Kalmar FF at Stora Valla in a crucial lower-table clash in Allsvenskan round 24. With Degerfors sitting 13th on 20 points and Kalmar occupying the relegation play-off spot in 14th on 19 points, this fixture carries immense significance for both clubs as they look to secure top-flight safety.
Degerfors come into the contest having drawn their last two matches 1-1 against Mjallby AIF and IK Brage. At home, they have scored 11 goals and conceded 15 in 11 fixtures, producing games that regularly test defensive discipline despite their modest overall scoring record of 20 goals in 23 matches.
Kalmar continue to struggle on their travels, remaining winless away from home this season with two draws and ten defeats in 12 matches while shipping 20 goals. Although their attack has gone cold in recent outings, Kalmar have conceded at a rate of 1.7 goals per away fixture, creating an environment where opportunities should present themselves for the home side.
Key factors
- Kalmar have conceded 20 goals in 12 away league fixtures, an average of 1.7 goals against per match on the road.
- Degerfors have conceded 15 goals across their 11 home games this season, keeping clean sheets in only two of those fixtures.
- Six of the previous seven head-to-head meetings between Degerfors and Kalmar have produced two or more goals.
- Kalmar have scored just seven goals in 12 away matches and failed to score in each of their last four recorded games, limiting the viability of higher goal totals.
Team news
Degerfors IF
- J. PikkarainenKnee Injury
Kalmar FF
- K. PaananenThigh Injury
Team news last updated Oct 12 (12 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Degerfors IF at home plus Kalmar FF away).
Key players this season
Kalmar FF
- C. Sagoe8A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gais | 24 | +5 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 24 | -12 | 23 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 24 | -15 | 22 |
| 14 | Degerfors IFRelegation Playoffs | 24 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte ISRelegation | 24 | -25 | 18 |
| 16 | HalmstadRelegation | 25 | -28 | 17 |
Head-to-head
- 1
- Degerfors IF
- 0
- Draws
- 7
- Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF have won 7 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.
- 2026-10-19Degerfors IF1-2Kalmar FF
- 2026-05-23Kalmar FF2-1Degerfors IF
- 2023-10-21Degerfors IF1-3Kalmar FF
- 2023-06-10Kalmar FF2-1Degerfors IF
- 2022-07-30Degerfors IF2-1Kalmar FF
Our record in Allsvenskan
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.4 published markets
Degerfors IF or Draw — 75% confidence
Degerfors hold an important edge given Kalmar's struggles away from home, where they have failed to win any of their 12 league matches this season, suffering ten defeats and managing just two draws. Kalmar have also failed to score in eight of those 12 away trips and have not scored in any of their last four completed league matches overall. Degerfors have avoided defeat in five of their 11 home outings and have shown resilience recently with back-to-back 1-1 draws against Mjallby AIF and IK brage. Backing Degerfors to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes while accounting for the high-stakes nature of a relegation battle where draws are common.
Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence
Both sides have struggled for attacking fluency across the season, each averaging just 0.9 goals scored per game overall. Degerfors average 1.0 goal scored per home match and each of their last five league games has stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold, including 1-1 draws against Mjallby AIF and IK brage, a 1-0 loss to Hammarby FF, and a 2-0 victory over Halmstad. Kalmar's away matches average only 0.6 goals scored, having gone scoreless in eight of their 12 away matches and in four consecutive completed fixtures. With both teams fighting to escape the drop zone, a cautious, low-scoring encounter is probable.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Both sides have struggled for attacking fluency across the season, each averaging just 0.9 goals scored per game overall. Degerfors average 1.0 goal scored per home match and each of their last five league games has stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold, including 1-1 draws against Mjallby AIF and IK brage, a 1-0 loss to Hammarby FF, and a 2-0 victory over Halmstad. Kalmar's away matches average only 0.6 goals scored, having gone scoreless in eight of their 12 away matches and in four consecutive completed fixtures. With both teams fighting to escape the drop zone, a cautious, low-scoring encounter is probable.
Degerfors hold an important edge given Kalmar's struggles away from home, where they have failed to win any of their 12 league matches this season, suffering ten defeats and managing just two draws. Kalmar have also failed to score in eight of those 12 away trips and have not scored in any of their last four completed league matches overall. Degerfors have avoided defeat in five of their 11 home outings and have shown resilience recently with back-to-back 1-1 draws against Mjallby AIF and IK brage. Backing Degerfors to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes while accounting for the high-stakes nature of a relegation battle where draws are common.
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Published October 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.