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Sat 24 Oct · 15:00

Dumbarton vs Keith prediction

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Round: Round of 128

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Dumbarton

41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Keith

60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Dumbarton or Draw

BetGenius backs Dumbarton or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Dumbarton welcome Keith to the Rock for this Scottish Cup tie looking to maintain their positive home rhythm. The hosts have demonstrated solid form on their own ground, taking two victories and a draw from their last three home fixtures, including a 3-2 win against Banks O' Dee, a 2-1 result against Forfar Athletic, and a 1-1 draw with Stirling Albion.

Keith enter the clash following a high-scoring 6-4 home victory over Invergordon, having also recently defeated Stonehaven 2-1 and Turriff United 1-0 at home. However, their fortunes have differed significantly on the road, where they have found both defensive stability and attacking output difficult to sustain.

Travelling away from home has proven challenging for Keith in recent outings, as they suffered a 5-0 defeat against Brora Rangers and a 2-0 loss at Huntly without registering a goal. With Dumbarton consistently finding the net at home and Keith struggling on their travels, the home side look well-positioned to avoid defeat.

Analysis

Key factors

Dumbarton are unbeaten in their last three home fixtures with two wins and one draw.
Dumbarton have scored in every home game across their last three outings, netting six goals in total.
Keith have lost both of their last two away fixtures, conceding seven goals across those matches.
Keith failed to score in each of their previous two away matches against Brora Rangers and Huntly.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Dumbarton at homeKeith away

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Played

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W-D-L

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Scored /game

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Conceded /game

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Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

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80%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

BetGenius

Our record in Scottish Cup

68%43 won from 63 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Dumbarton or Draw

75%

Confidence

Dumbarton have remained unbeaten across their last three home fixtures, earning wins against Banks O' Dee and Forfar Athletic before sharing the points in a 1-1 draw with Stirling Albion. Keith have endured significant difficulties away from home, losing both of their last two away matches by scorelines of 5-0 to Brora Rangers and 2-0 to Huntly without scoring. Backing Dumbarton on the double chance provides solid security in a knockout tie where Keith have struggled on the road.

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