Marseille enter this fixture having lost their last five matches in all competitions, including consecutive Ligue 1 away defeats at Monaco and Rennes. Their road form has been particularly sterile, having scored zero goals across two away league outings. Furthermore, their attacking threat is significantly compromised by the absence of leading scorer A. Gouiri through injury and T. Weah through suspension, while midfield structure is depleted without P. Hojbjerg and G. Kondogbia. Troyes secured a 2-2 draw at Dijon last time out and have an opportunity on home soil to take points off an out-of-sorts visitor lacking key personnel.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 6
- Venue
- Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
- Referee
- Guillaume Paradis, France
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Estac Troyes or Draw (Double Chance) at 66% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Estac Troyes welcome Marseille to the Stade de l'Aube in a round six Ligue 1 encounter between two sides currently occupying spots in the relegation zone. Troyes sit in 16th place with four points from five fixtures, having snapped a three-match losing sequence with a 2-2 draw away to Dijon. Defensively, Troyes have found the going tough, conceding 11 times across their five matches, but they have shown competitive flashes in attack.
Marseille arrive in 17th position with three points after losing four of their opening five league fixtures. Les Phoceens are currently enduring a five-match losing run across all competitions, which includes defeats to Monaco, Rennes, and Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1. Away from home in the league, Marseille have struggled significantly in front of goal, failing to find the net in either of their two road games and losing both without scoring.
Squad availability presents serious questions for the visitors, who travel without top scorer A. Gouiri, who has scored four goals this season, alongside suspended winger T. Weah and injured midfielders P. Hojbjerg and G. Kondogbia. Troyes also face several fitness absences, including I. Boura, P. Gozzi, and M. Ifnaoui, making this a test of depth and organization for two struggling squads.
Key factors
- Marseille have lost each of their last five matches across all competitions.
- Marseille have scored zero goals in two away Ligue 1 fixtures this season.
- Marseille top scorer A. Gouiri is sidelined with a thigh injury.
- Troyes ended their three-match losing run with a 2-2 away draw at Dijon.
- Key Marseille midfielders P. Hojbjerg and G. Kondogbia are both unavailable through injury.
Team news
Estac Troyes
- Y. KoneKnee Injury
- A. OuzenadjiKnee Injury
- Y. TitiLeg Injury
- I. BouraHip Injury
Marseille
- D. CorneliusHip Injury
- A. Koum MbondoIllness
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Estac Troyes at home plus Marseille away).
Key players this season
Marseille
- A. Gouiri5G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Lens | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le MansRelegation Playoffs | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac TroyesRelegation | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Le HavreRelegation | 7 | -6 | 2 |
Head-to-head
- 0
- Estac Troyes
- 2
- Draws
- 8
- Marseille
Marseille have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-10-11Estac Troyes0-2Marseille
- 2023-04-16Marseille3-1Estac Troyes
- 2023-01-11Estac Troyes0-2Marseille
- 2022-02-27Estac Troyes1-1Marseille
- 2021-11-28Marseille1-0Estac Troyes
Our record in Ligue 1
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Other Ligue 1 predictions
Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

