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Wed 16 Sept · 19:45

Everton vs Wolves prediction

Round
Round of 32
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Referee
T. Bramall
Form

Recent form

Everton
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Wolves
49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Everton or Draw

BetGenius backs Everton or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Everton welcome Wolves to Merseyside in the EFL Cup Round of 32, with both sides looking to build on positive cup momentum. Everton enter this clash on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, having comfortably dispatched Preston 4-0 in their previous cup outing before securing draws against Bournemouth, Manchester United, and Tottenham.

Wolves reached this stage after a 2-0 away victory over Sheffield Wednesday, but their recent defensive form has shown signs of vulnerability. The visitors have conceded six goals across their last two fixtures, including a 4-2 defeat to West Ham and a 2-2 draw at Birmingham.

Recent head-to-head encounters suggest a tightly contested affair, with their most recent meeting ending in a 1-1 draw. Everton will look to capitalize on home advantage and defensive stability against a Wolves side coping with multiple defensive and midfield injuries.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Everton are unbeaten in their last five fixtures across all competitions, conceding just three goals in that span.
  2. Wolves have shown defensive frailty recently, conceding six goals across their last two matches against West Ham and Birmingham.
  3. Wolves have four players ruled out through injury: J. Bellegarde, Y. Mosquera, R. Said, and K. Trippier.
  4. The most recent head-to-head meeting between the two sides finished level in a 1-1 draw in January 2026.
  5. Sixty percent of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have stayed under 2.5 total goals.
Availability

Team news

Everton

  • V. MykolenkoKnock

Team news last updated Oct 11 (13 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Wolves

  • R. GomesFoot Injury
  • R. JimenezKnee Injury
  • B. TraoreInjury
  • A. ArmstrongBack Injury
  • E. GonzalezInjury
  • T. OjinnakaInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Everton at homeWolves away
4
Played
6
2-1-1
W-D-L
3-1-2
1.3
Scored /game
1.7
1
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
17%
—
Failed to score
17%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Everton at home plus Wolves away).

Players

Key players this season

Everton

  • T. Barry3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

3
Everton
3
Draws
4
Wolves

Wolves have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-16Everton1-0Wolves
  • 2026-01-07Everton1-1Wolves
  • 2025-09-23Wolves2-0Everton
  • 2025-08-30Wolves2-3Everton
  • 2025-03-08Wolves1-1Everton
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Everton or Draw
74%
Confidence

Everton have built steady momentum, remaining unbeaten in their last five competitive matches with two wins and three draws. In contrast, Wolves have conceded six goals in their last two away fixtures and are missing several defensive players including Y. Mosquera and K. Trippier. Backing Everton to win or draw covers the most probable match outcomes based on recent form and squad depth.

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Published September 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.