BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Referee
Tim Ford
Form

Recent form

FC Cincinnati
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

DC United
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
FC Cincinnati or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs FC Cincinnati or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 65% confidence — a solid call.

65%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

FC Cincinnati return to their home ground after a mixed run, scoring 2.6 goals per game at home but conceding 2.1. Their recent five matches include a 3‑1 away win but three defeats at home, suggesting inconsistency despite a strong home record overall.

DC United have struggled on the road, finding the net only 1.2 goals per away game and conceding 1.8. Their last five outings show a heavy 4‑1 loss away and a 0‑4 defeat, though they managed a 2‑1 home win recently.

Head‑to‑head meetings are evenly split (four wins each, two draws) with an average of 2.9 goals per game and 60 % of those fixtures going over 2.5 goals. Both sides have a history of both teams scoring in roughly half of their encounters.

Injury news lists two Cincinnati players (J. Martinez, J. Malatini) and one United player (G. Segal) out, but the impact on the overall balance appears limited.

Availability

Team news

FC Cincinnati

  • J. MartinezKnee Injury
  • J. MalatiniThigh Injury

DC United

  • G. SegalLeg Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

FC Cincinnati at homeDC United away
14
Played
14
7-3-4
W-D-L
2-7-5
2.6
Scored /game
1.2
2.1
Conceded /game
1.8
14%
Clean sheets
21%
14%
Failed to score
36%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (FC Cincinnati at home plus DC United away).

Players

Key players this season

FC Cincinnati

  • K. Denkey17G
  • Evander9A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

5
FC Cincinnati
1
Draws
4
DC United

FC Cincinnati have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-21FC Cincinnati2-1DC United
  • 2025-05-31FC Cincinnati1-2DC United
  • 2025-04-12DC United0-1FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-07-03DC United2-3FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-03-10FC Cincinnati0-0DC United
BetGenius

Our record in Major League Soccer

68%19 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
FC Cincinnati or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
65%
Both must land · no better than

FC Cincinnati or Draw — 78% confidence

Cincinnati’s home scoring average (2.6) exceeds United’s away scoring rate (1.2). United concede 1.8 goals per away game, while Cincinnati concede 2.1 at home, giving the hosts a slight edge. Recent head‑to‑head results are balanced, but Cincinnati have a better home record overall, supporting a home‑or‑draw outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals — 65% confidence

The ten previous meetings produced an average of 2.9 goals and 60 % of games exceeded 2.5 goals. Both teams have been involved in relatively high‑scoring matches recently, with Cincinnati scoring three at Atlanta and United conceding four at Orlando, indicating a good chance of an over‑2.5 result.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
Confidence

Both sides have shown the ability to score: Cincinnati with 17 goals in their last five home games and United scoring three in a recent 3‑3 draw away. Their combined BTTS percentage in head‑to‑head is 50 %, and the overall goal average suggests both teams could find the net.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
Confidence

The ten previous meetings produced an average of 2.9 goals and 60 % of games exceeded 2.5 goals. Both teams have been involved in relatively high‑scoring matches recently, with Cincinnati scoring three at Atlanta and United conceding four at Orlando, indicating a good chance of an over‑2.5 result.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Confidence

Cincinnati’s home scoring average (2.6) exceeds United’s away scoring rate (1.2). United concede 1.8 goals per away game, while Cincinnati concede 2.1 at home, giving the hosts a slight edge. Recent head‑to‑head results are balanced, but Cincinnati have a better home record overall, supporting a home‑or‑draw outcome.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 20, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.