14:00

Sun 25 Oct

FC Thun vs FC Lugano prediction

Follow FC Thun Follow FC Lugano Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 11
Venue: Cornaredo, Lugano

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

FC Thun

29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

FC Lugano

86Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +10 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

FC Lugano or Draw

BetGenius backs FC Lugano or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

FC Thun welcome league leaders FC Lugano in round 11 of the Super League. The hosts currently sit ninth in the table with 10 points from 10 matches and have found the going tough on their own ground, securing just one point from four home fixtures while scoring two goals and conceding 11.

FC Lugano enter the fixture at the summit of the division with 28 points, having posted nine victories and one draw across their opening 10 league outings. They have been equally relentless on their travels, winning all four away games while registering 13 goals and conceding only three. Attackers Daniel Dos Santos and D. Moncada have each contributed four goals to spearhead their campaign.

Recent head-to-head encounters also favour the visitors, who have taken maximum points from each of the last three meetings between these sides. Given the wide gap in domestic performances and Thun's difficulty generating goals at home, Lugano hold a significant edge heading into this matchup.

Analysis

Key factors

FC Lugano lead the Super League table on 28 points, remaining unbeaten with nine wins and one draw.
FC Thun have taken just one point from four home matches this season, scoring twice and conceding 11 goals.
FC Lugano have won all four of their away league fixtures, scoring 13 goals and conceding only three.
FC Lugano have won the last three head-to-head fixtures against FC Thun by identical 1-0 scorelines.
FC Thun have failed to score in three of their four home matches during the current league campaign.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

FC Thun at homeFC Lugano away

Played

0-1-3

W-D-L

4-0-0

0.5

Scored /game

3.3

2.8

Conceded /game

0.8

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (FC Thun at home plus FC Lugano away).

Players

Key players this season

FC Thun

F. Dursun4A

FC Lugano

D. Moncada4G
Daniel Dos Santos4G
A. Grgić4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FC LuganoPlay-offs	10	+24	28
2	BSC Young BoysPlay-offs	10	+15	22
3	FC SionPlay-offs	10	+6	19
4	FC ST. GallenPlay-offs	10	-2	16
6	Servette FCPlay-offs	10	+1	13
7	FC Basel 1893Relegation Play-offs	10	-3	13
8	FC LuzernRelegation Play-offs	10	-5	12
9	FC ThunRelegation Play-offs	10	-10	10
10	FC VaduzRelegation Play-offs	10	0	9
11	GrasshoppersRelegation Play-offs	10	-13	8
12	LausanneRelegation Play-offs	10	-9	6

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
FC Thun: 2
Draws: 5
FC Lugano

FC Lugano have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

2026-04-25FC Thun0-1FC Lugano
2026-04-04FC Lugano1-0FC Thun
2025-11-22FC Thun0-1FC Lugano
2025-07-27FC Lugano1-2FC Thun
2022-02-10FC Thun3-4FC Lugano

BetGenius

Our record in Super League

73%40 won from 55 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

Featured

Double Chance

FC Lugano or Draw

74%

Confidence

FC Lugano possess an unblemished domestic away record of four wins from four matches, averaging 3.3 goals scored per trip while conceding less than one per game. In contrast, FC Thun have lost three of their four home matches and failed to score in three of them, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per home contest. FC Lugano have also won the previous three head-to-head encounters against Thun. Backing the visitors to win or draw accounts for their quick turnaround from midweek action while reflecting their heavy advantage in form and squad stability across the campaign.

Explore

FC Thun vs FC Lugano prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

FC Thun

FC Lugano

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Super League

1 published market

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other Super League predictions

Teams around them in the table