BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 2
Venue
Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Referee
Jarred Gillett, Australia
Form

Recent form

FC Thun
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

HNK Hajduk Split
76Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + HNK Hajduk Split or Draw

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + HNK Hajduk Split or Draw (Combo Bet) at 70% confidence — a solid call.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

FC Thun come into the tie after a 0‑1 loss in their only cup appearance, having struggled to create chances and still searching for their first cup goal. Their recent domestic form shows two 2‑goal victories but also three defeats, highlighting inconsistency at the back and in front.

HNK Hajduk Split arrive in strong condition, unbeaten in their last four matches and scoring seven goals while conceding three. They average 3.2 goals per game across all competitions and boast a potent away record, with four goals per game when playing on the road.

The disparity in recent performances and scoring ability points to Hajduk as clear favourites, yet Thun’s occasional two‑goal displays at home mean they could still pose a threat if they find a way past the Split defence.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

FC Thun at homeHNK Hajduk Split away
4
Played
2
0-1-3
W-D-L
2-0-0
0.5
Scored /game
—
2.8
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5TwentePromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
6MonacoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
7St. TruidenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+36
8HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+26
9BrightonPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+44
10FC CopenhagenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+34
11Universitatea CraiovaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+24
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + HNK Hajduk Split or Draw
70%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Thun’s cup average of one goal against per game combined with Hajduk’s 3.2 goals per game suggests the match will produce more than 2.5 goals in total.

HNK Hajduk Split or Draw — 73% confidence

Hajduk Split’s superior recent form and high scoring rate make a defeat unlikely. Even if they fail to win, a draw is plausible, giving the away side at least a point.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
Confidence

Hajduk concede about one to two goals per game away, while Thun have scored twice in two of their last five fixtures, indicating both sides have a reasonable chance to find the net.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Thun’s cup average of one goal against per game combined with Hajduk’s 3.2 goals per game suggests the match will produce more than 2.5 goals in total.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw
73%
Confidence

Hajduk Split’s superior recent form and high scoring rate make a defeat unlikely. Even if they fail to win, a draw is plausible, giving the away side at least a point.

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Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.