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Sat 12 Sept · 19:00

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Referee
Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · -2 goal difference

Ajax
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Ajax or Draw

BetGenius backs Ajax or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard enter matchday six sitting sixth in the Eredivisie with ten points from five games, having secured back-to-back 3-2 away victories over Groningen and ADO Den Haag. Their lively start to the season has produced 11 goals scored and nine conceded, though they have yet to register a clean sheet.

Ajax travel to Sittard occupying eighth place with seven points from four fixtures. While they suffered a 3-1 home defeat to PSV Eindhoven in their last outing, their away form in the league has been flawless with two wins from two matches, scoring six goals without conceding.

The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors, with Ajax winning eight and drawing two of the past ten meetings between the sides. Fortuna Sittard have struggled defensively in the opening rounds, which gives Ajax a strong platform to leave with a positive outcome.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ajax are unbeaten in their last ten meetings against Fortuna Sittard, recording eight wins and two draws.
  2. Fortuna Sittard have conceded nine goals across five league games and have not kept a single clean sheet.
  3. Ajax have won both of their away league games this season by an aggregate score of 6-0.
  4. Eight of the last ten meetings between these two sides have produced over 2.5 total goals.
  5. Fortuna Sittard have scored 11 goals in five matches, led by M. Ihattaren and L. Zeefuik with three goals each.
Availability

Team news

Fortuna Sittard

  • R. BayramKnee Injury
  • I. MarquezInjury
  • Y. OukiliGroin Injury
  • J. DahlhausInactive

Ajax

  • S. AdingraLacking Match Fitness
  • S. BerghuisInjury
  • D. BlindBack Injury
  • Caio HenriqueThigh Injury
  • K. DolbergKnee Injury
  • A. GaaeiInjury
  • O. EdvardsenInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fortuna Sittard at homeAjax away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
4-0-0
1.3
Scored /game
4
2.3
Conceded /game
0.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 5.3 goals per game (Fortuna Sittard at home plus Ajax away).

Players

Key players this season

Fortuna Sittard

  • M. Ihattaren3A

Ajax

  • J. Brandt6G
  • O. Gloukh4A
  • K. DolbergKnee Injury3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FeyenoordPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+2123
2AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)9+1020
3PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1519
4AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+1518
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
0
Fortuna Sittard
2
Draws
8
Ajax

Ajax have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, 80% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-02-14Ajax4-1Fortuna Sittard
  • 2025-12-06Fortuna Sittard1-3Ajax
  • 2025-02-09Fortuna Sittard0-2Ajax
  • 2024-09-18Ajax5-0Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-03-10Ajax2-2Fortuna Sittard
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

72%61 won from 85 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Ajax or Draw
76%
Confidence

Ajax have dominated this fixture historically, winning eight and drawing two of their last ten encounters against Fortuna Sittard, including four wins in their last five visits to Sittard. Ajax also boast two wins from two away league matches this season with six goals scored and zero conceded. Although Fortuna Sittard have shown solid attacking numbers with 11 goals, they have conceded nine times in five matches and kept zero clean sheets. Covering the Ajax win and the draw provides strong probability given the head-to-head dominance and Ajax's away consistency.

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FeyenoordAZ AlkmaarPSV EindhovenTwenteGroningenHeerenveen
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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.