BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Essity Stadium, Flint
Referee
M. James
Form

Recent form

GAP Connah S Quay FC
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Airbus UK
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + GAP Connah S Quay FC to win

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + GAP Connah S Quay FC to win (Combo Bet) at 70% confidence — a solid call.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

GAP Connah S Quay FC welcome Airbus UK to the Deeside Stadium looking to rebound from a 2-1 away defeat against Colwyn Bay. Prior to that setback, the Nomads had put together a strong run of five consecutive wins across all competitions and remain well-positioned in fifth place in the table with 16 points and an impressive goal difference of plus 12. Their home scoring output has been potent, delivering 11 goals in four matches.

Airbus UK travel sitting ninth in the standings on 12 points from eight fixtures. While they have claimed four victories this campaign, consistency has been harder to sustain, having suffered three defeats in their last five outings. Defensive vulnerabilities on the road remain a concern, notably highlighted by a 4-2 loss away at Barry Town in late August.

The historical record in this fixture is heavily tilted in favour of Connah S Quay, who have won all ten of the most recent head-to-head encounters between the sides, including a 5-0 victory in the Welsh Cup in their last meeting. With superior offensive metrics and strong home form, the hosts enter this clash as clear favourites.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

GAP Connah S Quay FC at homeAirbus UK away
5
Played
5
3-1-1
W-D-L
2-0-3
2.8
Scored /game
1
0.6
Conceded /game
1.6
60%
Clean sheets
40%
0%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (GAP Connah S Quay FC at home plus Airbus UK away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+2131
3PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+1430
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+2429
5Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+726
6Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+525
7Airbus UKPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+824
8Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+822
9Cambrian & ClydachPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14-1318
10LlandudnoPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)13-116
History

Head-to-head

10
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
Draws
0
Airbus UK

GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 10 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.8 goals a game, 80% went over 2.5.

  • 2023-02-04GAP Connah S Quay FC5-0Airbus UK
  • 2022-12-02Airbus UK1-2GAP Connah S Quay FC
  • 2022-08-19GAP Connah S Quay FC1-0Airbus UK
  • 2021-09-21GAP Connah S Quay FC6-3Airbus UK
  • 2019-12-30Airbus UK0-4GAP Connah S Quay FC
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

64%59 won from 92 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
70%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Both sides possess active attacks, with Connah S Quay averaging 2.8 goals scored per home match and Airbus UK averaging 1.3 goals per away match. Across their 10 previous head-to-head encounters, 80 percent produced three or more goals with an overall average of 3.8 goals per game. Additionally, the broader league average stands at 3.14 goals per game, indicating solid support for a total exceeding 2.5 goals.

GAP Connah S Quay FC to win — 75% confidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC hold a commanding head-to-head record over Airbus UK, winning each of the last 10 meetings between the two clubs. The hosts have scored 18 goals in seven league fixtures while conceding just five, and have avoided defeat in three of their four home matches with two wins and a draw. Airbus UK have lost two of their four away matches this season and conceded nine goals across seven league fixtures, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Both sides possess active attacks, with Connah S Quay averaging 2.8 goals scored per home match and Airbus UK averaging 1.3 goals per away match. Across their 10 previous head-to-head encounters, 80 percent produced three or more goals with an overall average of 3.8 goals per game. Additionally, the broader league average stands at 3.14 goals per game, indicating solid support for a total exceeding 2.5 goals.

Combo BetWON
Match Winner
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
75%
Confidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC hold a commanding head-to-head record over Airbus UK, winning each of the last 10 meetings between the two clubs. The hosts have scored 18 goals in seven league fixtures while conceding just five, and have avoided defeat in three of their four home matches with two wins and a draw. Airbus UK have lost two of their four away matches this season and conceded nine goals across seven league fixtures, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

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Published September 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.