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Sun 13 Sept · 16:00

Ham-Kam vs Molde prediction

Round
Regular Season - 21
Venue
Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Referee
Mischa Kellerhals, Norway
Form

Recent form

Ham-Kam
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Molde
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Ham-Kam return to home territory looking to bounce back from a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Rosenborg. Sitting tenth in the Eliteserien table with 23 points from 19 games, Ham-Kam have relied heavily on their home form this season, where they have won five of their nine fixtures and have not failed to score a single goal in front of their own supporters.

Fourth-placed Molde arrive in strong form with four consecutive victories across all competitions, including high-scoring wins over Valerenga and Tromso. With 38 league goals scored in 19 rounds, Molde remain one of the most prolific attacking units in Norway, though their defensive record on the road remains vulnerable with 18 goals conceded in nine away matches.

Previous encounters between these two sides indicate an open contest, including Molde's 4-1 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Given Ham-Kam's consistent scoring record at home and Molde's attacking output paired with defensive lapses on travel, goal action is anticipated at both ends.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ham-Kam have scored in all nine of their home league matches this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game on home turf.
  2. Molde have conceded 18 goals in nine away fixtures, an average of two goals conceded per match on the road.
  3. The reverse fixture earlier in the 2026 campaign ended in a 4-1 victory for Molde.
  4. Molde have scored 38 goals in 19 league fixtures, the third highest total in the division.
  5. Ham-Kam have kept only three clean sheets in nine home matches while conceding 14 times.
Availability

Team news

Ham-Kam

  • M. JohnsgardKnee Injury
  • B. IsufiElbow Injury

Molde

  • S. HansenInjury
  • E. HestadLeg Injury
  • V. HoffKnee Injury
  • M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
  • H. StenevikInjury
  • S. DiopInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ham-Kam at homeMolde away
11
Played
11
5-2-4
W-D-L
4-3-4
1.5
Scored /game
2
1.9
Conceded /game
1.9
27%
Clean sheets
9%
9%
Failed to score
9%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (Ham-Kam at home plus Molde away).

Players

Key players this season

Ham-Kam

  • P. Metcalfe6A

Molde

  • E. Breivik9G · 9A
  • K. Lonebu8G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3856
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3756
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
12Ham-Kam23-1526
13Sandefjord23-824
14AalesundEliteserien (Relegation)23-1224
15Kristiansund BKRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2419
History

Head-to-head

1
Ham-Kam
2
Draws
7
Molde

Molde have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-13Ham-Kam1-5Molde
  • 2026-04-12Molde4-1Ham-Kam
  • 2025-08-09Molde1-0Ham-Kam
  • 2025-05-25Ham-Kam2-1Molde
  • 2024-08-25Molde3-0Ham-Kam
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%60 won from 72 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Ham-Kam's home fixtures have averaged 3.4 total goals per game this season, with the hosts scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6. Molde's away matches follow an even higher-scoring pattern, averaging 3.7 total goals with 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per trip. The reverse meeting between the sides this season produced five goals in a 4-1 Molde victory, and sixty percent of their last ten head-to-head encounters have seen three or more goals scored.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.