BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Form

Recent form

Hapoel Petah Tikva
15Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Beitar Jerusalem
82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Beitar Jerusalem to win

BetGenius backs Beitar Jerusalem to win (Match Winner) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Both teams enter the eighth round of the Ligat Ha'al with contrasting fortunes. Beitar Jerusalem sit fifth with 13 points, a recent run of four wins in five matches and a goal difference of +2. Their away form shows they score 1.7 goals per game while conceding only one, and they have kept two clean sheets on the road. Hapoel Petah Tikva are down at 12th place with just four points, a poor record of one win in seven games and a home goal‑scoring average of 0.7 per match. Their defence leaks two goals per away game and they have failed to score in three of their four away outings.

Historically the Jerusalem side has dominated the fixture. In the last seven meetings Beitar have won four, drawn two and lost only once, including a 3‑1 home victory earlier this season. The most recent clash ended 0‑0, but the overall average goals per meeting is 3.14 and 57 % of those games have produced both teams scoring. With Beitar’s attacking edge and Hapoel’s struggle to find the net, the visitors are clear favourites.

The match is likely to be decided by Beitar’s ability to break down a Hapoel defence that has allowed over two goals per game away from home. While the home side has managed a clean sheet at home this season, they have scored only two goals in three home fixtures. Beitar’s recent four‑game winning streak suggests they have the momentum to secure the three points, but the modest goal averages point to a relatively tight scoreline.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Beitar’s superior league position (5th) and recent form (four wins in five) versus Hapoel’s poor form (one win in seven)
  2. Head‑to‑head record heavily in Beitar’s favour (4‑1‑2 over the last seven meetings)
  3. Beitar’s away scoring average (1.7 per game) and solid defence (1.0 conceded) compared with Hapoel’s weak home attack (0.7 per game)
  4. Historical games average 3.14 goals with 57 % over 2.5 goals, indicating a likely high‑scoring encounter
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Hapoel Petah Tikva at homeBeitar Jerusalem away
3
Played
3
1-1-1
W-D-L
2-0-1
0.7
Scored /game
1.7
1
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Hapoel Petah Tikva at home plus Beitar Jerusalem away).

Players

Key players this season

Beitar Jerusalem

  • O. Atzili3G · 2A
  • T. Yosefi4A
  • Y. Shua3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Hapoel Tel AvivPromotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)8+1319
3Maccabi HaifaPromotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)7+918
4Hapoel Beer ShevaPromotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)7+416
5Beitar JerusalemPromotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)7+213
6Bnei SakhninPromotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)8011
7Maccabi NetanyaLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8+110
8Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8-49
9Hapoel HaifaLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8-49
10Hapoel KatamonLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8-77
11Hapoel Ramat GanLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8-86
12Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)7-84
13Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8-103
14Ironi TiberiasLigat ha'Al (Relegation Group)8-42
History

Head-to-head

1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2
Draws
4
Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem have won 4 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game.

  • 2026-05-19Hapoel Petah Tikva0-0Beitar Jerusalem
  • 2026-04-28Beitar Jerusalem3-1Hapoel Petah Tikva
  • 2026-01-17Hapoel Petah Tikva1-3Beitar Jerusalem
  • 2025-10-04Beitar Jerusalem5-2Hapoel Petah Tikva
  • 2024-04-21Hapoel Petah Tikva0-2Beitar Jerusalem
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Match Winner
Beitar Jerusalem to win
75%
Confidence

Beitar Jerusalem are five places above Hapoel Petah Tikva and have a much stronger recent form (four wins in the last five games versus a single win in seven for Hapoel). Their away record (1.7 goals scored, 1.0 conceded per game) is superior to Hapoel’s home record (0.7 goals scored, 1.0 conceded). Head‑to‑head data shows Beitar have won four of the last seven meetings and the most recent encounter was a 0‑0 draw, indicating they are comfortable at this venue. These factors collectively make an away win the most likely outcome.

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Confidence

The seven historical meetings between the clubs have produced an average of 3.14 goals per game and 57 % of those fixtures went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have decent attacking records this season (Beitar 1.6 goals per game overall, Hapoel 0.4) and the league’s average goals per game is 2.94. While Hapoel’s scoring is limited, Beitar’s recent four‑goal haul and the tendency for both teams to score in this fixture support a modest probability that the total will exceed 2.5 goals.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Beitar Jerusalem to win
60%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 60% confidence

The seven historical meetings between the clubs have produced an average of 3.14 goals per game and 57 % of those fixtures went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have decent attacking records this season (Beitar 1.6 goals per game overall, Hapoel 0.4) and the league’s average goals per game is 2.94. While Hapoel’s scoring is limited, Beitar’s recent four‑goal haul and the tendency for both teams to score in this fixture support a modest probability that the total will exceed 2.5 goals.

Beitar Jerusalem to win — 75% confidence

Beitar Jerusalem are five places above Hapoel Petah Tikva and have a much stronger recent form (four wins in the last five games versus a single win in seven for Hapoel). Their away record (1.7 goals scored, 1.0 conceded per game) is superior to Hapoel’s home record (0.7 goals scored, 1.0 conceded). Head‑to‑head data shows Beitar have won four of the last seven meetings and the most recent encounter was a 0‑0 draw, indicating they are comfortable at this venue. These factors collectively make an away win the most likely outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.