BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Referee
S. Karabaev
Form

Recent form

Kairat Almaty
60Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

FK Tobol Kostanay
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Kairat Almaty to win

BetGenius backs Kairat Almaty to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Kairat Almaty host seventh-placed FK Tobol Kostanay in round 26 of the Premier League. Kairat sit atop the standings with 57 points from 24 fixtures, holding a two-point lead over Ordabasy, while Tobol occupy mid-table with 31 points.

Kairat have established a dominant domestic record this season, posting 17 wins, six draws, and just one defeat across 24 league matches. At home, they remain unbeaten with eight victories and three draws, scoring 26 goals while conceding only five. They enter this clash having won their last three domestic outings by multi-goal margins without conceding.

In contrast, Tobol have struggled significantly away from home throughout the campaign, recording 10 losses from 13 road fixtures alongside just one win and two draws. With only eight away goals scored and 20 conceded, Tobol face a demanding test against the league's stingiest defence.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Kairat Almaty are unbeaten at home in the league with eight wins and three draws from 11 matches.
  2. FK Tobol Kostanay have suffered 10 defeats in 13 away league fixtures, scoring only eight goals on the road.
  3. Kairat possess the division's best defensive record, conceding only 15 goals in 24 games and keeping seven home clean sheets.
  4. Tobol have failed to score in six of their 13 away league matches this season.
  5. Past encounters between these teams have tended to be high scoring, with eight of the last 10 meetings producing over 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kairat Almaty at homeFK Tobol Kostanay away
—
Played
14
—
W-D-L
2-2-10
—
Scored /game
0.9
—
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
7%
—
Failed to score
43%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Players

Key players this season

Kairat Almaty

  • Marc Gual4G · 2A
  • Lucas Áfrico1G

FK Tobol Kostanay

  • M. Vukčević1G · 1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1OrdabasyQualifying27+3564
2Kairat AlmatyQualifying27+3863
3FC Astana27+1649
4Okzhetpes28+548
5Aktobe28+745
6Yelimay Semey28+244
7FK Tobol Kostanay28+140
8Ulytau28-735
9Kaspiy28-833
10Zhenys28-932
History

Head-to-head

4
Kairat Almaty
4
Draws
2
FK Tobol Kostanay

Kairat Almaty have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 90% of them.

  • 2026-04-11FK Tobol Kostanay1-1Kairat Almaty
  • 2026-02-28Kairat Almaty2-2FK Tobol Kostanay
  • 2025-07-26FK Tobol Kostanay1-3Kairat Almaty
  • 2025-04-27Kairat Almaty2-1FK Tobol Kostanay
  • 2024-08-25Kairat Almaty2-2FK Tobol Kostanay
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

47%27 won from 58 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Kairat Almaty to win
76%
Confidence

Kairat Almaty possess a formidable home record with eight wins and zero defeats in 11 league matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game. FK Tobol Kostanay have lost 10 of their 13 away league fixtures, failing to score in six of those matches. The 26-point gap in the standings and contrasting home and away splits point strongly toward a home victory.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.