BetGenius
Full time
1-0
Sat 12 Sept · 14:30

Kapaz vs Qabala prediction

Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Ganja City Stadium, Tovuz
Referee
T. Qurbanov
Form

Recent form

Kapaz
50Average

Last 4 matches · 2W-0D-2L · -3 goal difference

Qabala
13Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -10 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kapaz host Qabala in the fifth round of the Premyer Liqa with both sides looking to establish consistency after low-scoring starts to the campaign. Kapaz sit ninth in the table with three points from their opening three fixtures, having recorded a 1-0 home victory against Turan alongside defeats against Sabah FA and Samaxi FK.

Qabala occupy seventh position with four points from four matches. Their attack has been quiet in the opening weeks, producing just two goals across four matches and failing to score in three of those outings, including a 1-0 away defeat against Turan and a goalless draw with Samaxi FK.

The head-to-head record between the two clubs is evenly split across their last ten encounters, with each side claiming four victories alongside two draws. Given both teams' modest scoring averages through the early phase of the season, a tight and cautious encounter is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Qabala have failed to score in three of their four Premyer Liqa matches this season, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
  2. Kapaz have scored only two goals in three league games, averaging 0.7 goals per match.
  3. Both teams to score has landed in only 40 percent of the last ten meetings between Kapaz and Qabala.
  4. Qabala have conceded only three goals in four matches, holding an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kapaz at homeQabala away
3
Played
3
2-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-3
1
Scored /game
0.3
1.3
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
40%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.3 goals per game (Kapaz at home plus Qabala away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Neftchi BakuPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1317
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)7+717
4Zira9015
5Kapaz8014
6Turan8+214
7Şamaxı FK8+313
8Sumqayıt8-18
9Qabala9-117
10Imisli FK8-67
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)9-123
12ArazRelegation - I Liqa9-122
History

Head-to-head

4
Kapaz
2
Draws
4
Qabala

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-04-05Kapaz0-2Qabala
  • 2026-01-10Qabala3-1Kapaz
  • 2025-12-14Kapaz1-0Qabala
  • 2025-09-20Qabala3-0Kapaz
  • 2024-04-28Qabala0-1Kapaz
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Qabala have generated very little attacking output this season, averaging 0.5 goals scored per match and failing to find the net in three of their four league fixtures. Kapaz have also been limited in attack, averaging 0.7 goals per game with just two goals scored in three matches. In addition, sixty percent of recent head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen at least one side keep a clean sheet, pointing towards a low-total affair.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.