BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul
Referee
Fatih Tokail, Türkiye
Form

Recent form

Kasımpaşa
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Samsunspor
3Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Kasımpaşa or Draw + BTTS No

BetGenius backs Kasımpaşa or Draw + BTTS No (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kasımpaşa welcome Samsunspor to Istanbul in round eight of the Süper Lig season looking to maintain their steady start. The home side occupy ninth place with ten points from seven matches, having suffered just one defeat so far, which came away to Galatasaray. While Kasımpaşa have drawn all three of their designated home league fixtures, their overall resilience has made them difficult to break down.

In stark contrast, Samsunspor enter this fixture under heavy pressure in seventeenth position with four points. The visitors are on a five-match losing streak across all competitions, falling to Fenerbahçe, Kocaelispor, Çorum FK, Erzurumspor FK, and most recently Trabzonspor in a 3-0 home defeat. Offensive struggles have severely hampered their campaign, as they failed to find the net in four of those five outings.

Head-to-head records show a balanced rivalry with three wins apiece and one draw over their last seven meetings. However, Samsunspor's current lack of attacking punch, coupled with Kasımpaşa's compact defensive record at home where they have conceded only three goals in three league games, gives the hosts a distinct edge in momentum.

Availability

Team news

Kasımpaşa

  • K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
  • G. FrimpongInjury
  • M. OuanesMuscle Injury

Samsunspor

  • J. AssoumouMuscle Injury
  • C. YukselInjury
  • F. KayaInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kasımpaşa at homeSamsunspor away
4
Played
4
1-3-0
W-D-L
1-0-3
1.8
Scored /game
0.8
1
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Kasımpaşa at home plus Samsunspor away).

Players

Key players this season

Kasımpaşa

  • A. Benedyczak5G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Beşiktaş8+615
6Kocaelispor9+215
7Çorum FK8+513
8Kasımpaşa8+313
9Alanyaspor9-212
10Başakşehir8011
11Erzurumspor FK8-611
14Gaziantep FK8-48
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.8-98
16KonyasporRelegation - 1. Lig8-55
17SamsunsporRelegation - 1. Lig8-124
18EyüpsporRelegation - 1. Lig8-203
History

Head-to-head

4
Kasımpaşa
1
Draws
3
Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-18Kasımpaşa4-1Samsunspor
  • 2026-08-08Kasımpaşa3-0Samsunspor
  • 2026-01-30Kasımpaşa0-1Samsunspor
  • 2025-09-17Samsunspor0-0Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-03-29Samsunspor0-2Kasımpaşa
BetGenius

Our record in Süper Lig

62%56 won from 90 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Kasımpaşa or Draw + BTTS No
66%
Both must land · no better than

Kasımpaşa or Draw — 78% confidence

Kasımpaşa have suffered only one loss in seven league matches this season and remain unbeaten at home with three draws from three outings. Samsunspor arrive having lost five consecutive fixtures while sitting in the relegation zone in seventeenth place. Given Kasımpaşa's tendency to draw on home turf alongside Samsunspor's poor run of form, covering the home win and the draw represents the most logical outcome.

BTTS No — 66% confidence

Samsunspor have failed to score in four of their seven league games this season, including four of their last five matches overall. They average just 0.7 goals per game on the road. Furthermore, both teams have scored in only two of the seven historical head-to-head encounters between these clubs, pointing towards at least one clean sheet.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
66%
Confidence

Samsunspor have failed to score in four of their seven league games this season, including four of their last five matches overall. They average just 0.7 goals per game on the road. Furthermore, both teams have scored in only two of the seven historical head-to-head encounters between these clubs, pointing towards at least one clean sheet.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Kasımpaşa or Draw
78%
Confidence

Kasımpaşa have suffered only one loss in seven league matches this season and remain unbeaten at home with three draws from three outings. Samsunspor arrive having lost five consecutive fixtures while sitting in the relegation zone in seventeenth place. Given Kasımpaşa's tendency to draw on home turf alongside Samsunspor's poor run of form, covering the home win and the draw represents the most logical outcome.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Confidence

Four of Kasımpaşa's last five matches have produced at least two goals, including scorelines of 2-2, 2-1, 2-1, and 3-1. Kasımpaşa have scored in six of their seven league games this season, while Samsunspor have conceded fifteen times in seven matches, an average of over two goals conceded per match. While Samsunspor's defensive vulnerability makes two goals a probable threshold, pushing to over 2.5 is difficult to back with confidence because Samsunspor have scored only one goal across their last five matches and average just 0.7 goals scored per away fixture. Over 1.5 captures the likelihood of Kasımpaşa breaching a porous defence without relying on an out-of-form Samsunspor attack to deliver a high-scoring encounter.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.