Kasımpaşa or Draw — 78% confidence
Kasımpaşa have suffered only one loss in seven league matches this season and remain unbeaten at home with three draws from three outings. Samsunspor arrive having lost five consecutive fixtures while sitting in the relegation zone in seventeenth place. Given Kasımpaşa's tendency to draw on home turf alongside Samsunspor's poor run of form, covering the home win and the draw represents the most logical outcome.
BTTS No — 66% confidence
Samsunspor have failed to score in four of their seven league games this season, including four of their last five matches overall. They average just 0.7 goals per game on the road. Furthermore, both teams have scored in only two of the seven historical head-to-head encounters between these clubs, pointing towards at least one clean sheet.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

