BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 24
Referee
D. Simenas
Form

Recent form

Kauno Žalgiris
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Suduva Marijampole
58Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Suduva Marijampole or Draw

BetGenius backs Suduva Marijampole or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Top-of-the-table drama unfolds in the A Lyga as second-placed Kauno Žalgiris host league leaders Suduva Marijampole. Kauno Žalgiris sit six points adrift of their opponents with a game in hand, making this a pivotal clash in the title race. The hosts enter this encounter on the back of a resounding 5-0 home victory against Džiugas Telšiai, showcasing their league-best goal differential.

Suduva Marijampole arrive in formidable form, having won each of their last five league matches. The visitors have demonstrated remarkable defensive discipline across the campaign, conceding just 19 goals in 27 matches while remaining exceptionally difficult to break down on their travels, where they have secured seven victories and four draws from 14 outings.

Head-to-head encounters between these two sides have traditionally been tightly contested, defensive affairs. Suduva hold the psychological edge in recent competitive meetings, having avoided defeat in their last five visits to Kaunas with two wins and three draws.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Suduva Marijampole have won five consecutive league matches leading into this fixture.
  2. Kauno Žalgiris have failed to beat Suduva in their last five home competitive meetings, registering three draws and two defeats.
  3. Across the last ten head-to-head meetings, 70 percent of matches have finished with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Both sides have conceded an average of only 0.7 goals per game across the entire league campaign.
  5. Suduva have lost only three of their 27 league matches this season, remaining unbeaten in 11 of 14 away fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kauno Žalgiris at homeSuduva Marijampole away
—
Played
15
—
W-D-L
7-4-4
—
Scored /game
1.5
—
Conceded /game
1.2
—
Clean sheets
27%
—
Failed to score
13%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris29+3754
2FK Zalgiris Vilnius30+1450
3Suduva Marijampole30+950
4TransINVEST Vilnius29+846
5Banga29+341
6Džiugas Telšiai29-439
History

Head-to-head

2
Kauno Žalgiris
4
Draws
4
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-09Kauno Žalgiris5-1Suduva Marijampole
  • 2026-05-23Suduva Marijampole2-1Kauno Žalgiris
  • 2026-03-21Kauno Žalgiris1-1Suduva Marijampole
  • 2026-01-17Suduva Marijampole0-4Kauno Žalgiris
  • 2025-10-27Suduva Marijampole1-0Kauno Žalgiris
BetGenius

Our record in A Lyga

56%18 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Suduva Marijampole or Draw
72%
Confidence

Suduva Marijampole enter this summit clash with momentum, having registered five consecutive league victories. They have proved highly resilient away from home throughout the campaign, taking points from 11 of their 14 road fixtures. Historically, Suduva have enjoyed sustained success in this fixture, remaining unbeaten across their last five competitive trips to Kauno Žalgiris with two victories and three draws. While Kauno Žalgiris boast a strong home defensive record with nine clean sheets, Suduva's defensive stability and form make them well-positioned to take at least a point.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.