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Sun 11 Oct · 14:00

Lazio vs Monza prediction

Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee
Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Form

Recent form

Lazio
87Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Monza
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lazio or Draw

BetGenius backs Lazio or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Lazio enter matchday six sitting third in the Serie A standings with 13 points from their opening five fixtures, having recorded four victories and a draw while conceding only three goals. Under their current 4-3-3 setup, the Roman side has maintained an undefeated start, aided by contributions from D. Frattesi with three goals alongside two assists each from M. Zaccagni and Nuno Tavares.

Monza travel to the capital in 16th place with four points, having lost three of their five league matches and conceded 12 goals in total. While Gustavo Varela has provided an attacking outlet with four goals, Monza have found defensive stability elusive, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game on their travels and failing to register a clean sheet this season.

Historical meetings between the clubs heavily favor the hosts, with Lazio taking four victories and two draws across their six previous encounters, including a 5-1 home win in their most recent clash. Given Monza's travel difficulties and absence list, the hosts are well-positioned to maintain their strong opening momentum.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lazio remain unbeaten in Serie A with four wins and one draw from five matches, conceding only three goals.
  2. Monza have yet to secure an away win this season, conceding eight goals across three away fixtures at an average of 2.7 per game.
  3. Lazio hold an undefeated record against Monza across six head-to-head meetings with four victories and two draws.
  4. Monza have conceded 12 goals in five league outings and have failed to keep a clean sheet this season.
  5. Monza are missing multiple squad members due to injury, including M. Pessina, I. Toure, and J. Ziolkowski.
Availability

Team news

Lazio

  • PatricSprained Ankle

Monza

  • Y. MayeMuscle Injury
  • M. PessinaKnee Injury
  • J. ZiolkowskiFoot Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lazio at homeMonza away
3
Played
4
2-1-0
W-D-L
0-1-3
2
Scored /game
1.3
1
Conceded /game
2.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Lazio at home plus Monza away).

Players

Key players this season

Lazio

  • Nuno Tavares3A
  • M. Zaccagni3A
  • T. Noslin2A

Monza

  • Gustavo Varela7G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1InterChampions League league stage7+1219
2LazioChampions League league stage7+1019
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
History

Head-to-head

5
Lazio
2
Draws
0
Monza

Lazio have won 5 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-11Lazio3-1Monza
  • 2025-02-09Lazio5-1Monza
  • 2024-11-10Monza0-1Lazio
  • 2024-05-04Monza2-2Lazio
  • 2023-09-23Lazio1-1Monza
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

68%84 won from 123 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

1 locked — upgrade to unlock
FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Lazio or Draw
78%
Confidence

Lazio have not suffered defeat in their opening five Serie A fixtures, winning four and drawing one while conceding only three times. Monza have yet to win an away match this campaign, recording one draw and two defeats while conceding eight goals in those three trips. Furthermore, Lazio remain unbeaten across all six previous head-to-head encounters against Monza, securing four wins and two draws. With Monza missing key players including M. Pessina, backing the hosts to avoid defeat offers strong alignment with the statistical profile.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.