BetGenius
EliteserienEliteserien
Full time
1-4
Sun 30 Aug · 18:15

Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad prediction

Follow LillestromFollow FredrikstadFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 19
Venue
Åråsen, Lillestrøm
Referee
Tore Hansen, Norway

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Lillestrom
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Fredrikstad
44Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Lillestrom or Fredrikstad + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Fifth-placed Lillestrom host eighth-placed Fredrikstad at the Åråsen Stadion in round 19 of the Eliteserien, with just three points separating the sides in the table. Lillestrom enter the contest looking to snap a five-match winless run across all competitions (two draws, three defeats), having most recently drawn 0-0 away against Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1-1 at KFUM Oslo. Despite recent struggles, Lillestrom took the reverse fixture 2-0 away at Fredrikstad in July.

Fredrikstad arrive in strong domestic form, riding a four-match winning streak in all competitions, including 1-0 league victories over Kristiansund BK and Sandefjord alongside cup wins against Start (1-0) and Eidsvold IF (7-1). However, their travel form in the Eliteserien remains vulnerable, having suffered six losses in nine away fixtures while conceding 19 goals (an average of 2.1 goals conceded per away match).

With Lillestrom yet to record a single draw on home turf this league campaign (four wins, four defeats) and Fredrikstad registering six defeats and two wins from nine trips, this encounter shapes up as an open, decisive contest between two teams with contrasting recent momentum.

Availability

Team news

Lillestrom

  • E. B. GarnasKnee Injury
  • C. JebaraInjury

Fredrikstad

  • S. KvileKnee Injury
  • J. NysveenInjury
  • D. EidYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lillestrom at homeFredrikstad away
11
Played
12
5-1-5
W-D-L
3-2-7
1.7
Scored /game
1.2
1.5
Conceded /game
2
18%
Clean sheets
8%
18%
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
—
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Lillestrom at home plus Fredrikstad away).

Players

Key players this season

Lillestrom

  • Vá5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
7Brann23+329
8Fredrikstad23-829
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Lillestrom
3
Draws
4
Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Lillestrom1-4Fredrikstad
  • 2026-07-11Fredrikstad0-2Lillestrom
  • 2026-01-31Lillestrom2-2Fredrikstad
  • 2025-05-21Lillestrom1-1Fredrikstad
  • 2025-03-22Fredrikstad1-0Lillestrom
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%60 won from 72 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad + Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

Lillestrom or Fredrikstad — 78% confidence

Lillestrom have produced a decisive result in all eight of their home league fixtures this season (four wins, four losses, zero draws). Similarly, Fredrikstad have registered only one draw in nine away league matches (two wins, six losses). Combining both profiles, 16 of their 17 home/away league games have ended with a winner, making the double chance on either side a strongly supported angle.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Lillestrom's home league fixtures average 3.13 total goals per game, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Fredrikstad have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away league fixture (19 conceded in nine games). These metrics point to a high probability of at least three goals being scored.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Lillestrom's home league fixtures average 3.13 total goals per game, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Fredrikstad have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away league fixture (19 conceded in nine games). These metrics point to a high probability of at least three goals being scored.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad
78%
Confidence

Lillestrom have produced a decisive result in all eight of their home league fixtures this season (four wins, four losses, zero draws). Similarly, Fredrikstad have registered only one draw in nine away league matches (two wins, six losses). Combining both profiles, 16 of their 17 home/away league games have ended with a winner, making the double chance on either side a strongly supported angle.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other Eliteserien predictions

Teams around them in the table

Bodo/GlimtVikingMoldeTromsoRosenborgBrann
All Eliteserien predictions →

Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.