BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
Referee
Espen Eskas, Norway
Form

Recent form

Lillestrom
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Molde
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lillestrom welcome Molde for round 23 of the Eliteserien campaign, with four points separating the two sides in the upper half of the table. Molde sit fourth on 36 points and occupy a Conference League qualification position, while Lillestrom hold sixth spot on 32 points. Lillestrom claimed a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier in the season and will seek another positive result on their own ground.

Both teams have shown steady attacking output alongside regular defensive vulnerabilities throughout the season. Molde have scored 44 goals across 21 matches and average 2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per away match, managing just one clean sheet on the road. Lillestrom have recorded an all-or-nothing home profile with five wins, zero draws, and five losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

Squad availability may also influence proceedings, with Molde managing a lengthy injury list that includes key attacking contributor E. Hestad alongside several defensive options. With both teams regularly involved in open fixtures, goals appear likely at both ends of the pitch.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Molde away matches average 3.9 total goals this season, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded across 10 fixtures.
  2. Lillestrom home games average 3.2 total goals, with 17 scored and 15 conceded in 10 outings.
  3. Head-to-head history shows over 2.5 goals occurring in 77.8 percent of the last nine meetings between the sides.
  4. Molde have kept only one clean sheet in 10 away matches and failed to score in only one.
  5. Molde carry significant absences into the fixture, including eight-goal scorer E. Hestad alongside defensive injuries to B. Risa and V. Hoff.
Availability

Team news

Lillestrom

  • E. B. GarnasKnee Injury
  • C. JebaraInjury

Molde

  • S. HansenInjury
  • E. HestadLeg Injury
  • V. HoffKnee Injury
  • M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
  • H. StenevikInjury
  • S. DiopInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lillestrom at homeMolde away
11
Played
11
5-1-5
W-D-L
4-3-4
1.7
Scored /game
2
1.5
Conceded /game
1.9
18%
Clean sheets
9%
18%
Failed to score
9%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Lillestrom at home plus Molde away).

Players

Key players this season

Lillestrom

  • Vá5A

Molde

  • E. Breivik9G · 9A
  • K. Lonebu8G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3856
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3756
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
7Brann23+329
8Fredrikstad23-829
9KFUM Oslo23-929
History

Head-to-head

3
Lillestrom
1
Draws
5
Molde

Molde have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 78% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-04-06Molde0-1Lillestrom
  • 2024-10-06Lillestrom1-2Molde
  • 2024-08-11Lillestrom1-2Molde
  • 2024-07-07Molde3-0Lillestrom
  • 2023-11-12Molde4-0Lillestrom
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%57 won from 69 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Molde have produced an average of 3.9 total goals per away match in the league this season, scoring 20 and conceding 19 across 10 road games. They have failed to score only once away from home while keeping just a single clean sheet. Lillestrom have maintained an average of 3.2 total goals in their home matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15 across 10 outings. Additionally, seven of the last nine head-to-head encounters between these clubs have produced three or more goals, yielding an average of 3.0 goals per meeting. With Molde also missing several defensive players through injury, another productive contest is well supported by the numbers.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.