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Sat 12 Sept · 15:00

Lillestrom vs Valerenga prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 21
Venue: Åråsen, Lillestrøm
Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Lillestrom

53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Valerenga

55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Lillestrom or Draw

BetGenius backs Lillestrom or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Lillestrom welcome Valerenga to Arasen Stadion for round 21 of the Eliteserien campaign. The hosts sit fifth in the table on 29 points from 19 matches, aiming to stay in the upper tier of the standings. Lillestrom enter the contest after picking up two successive victories in all competitions, including a 2-1 away win against Brann in their latest league outing.

Valerenga occupy 11th position with 22 points, having recorded six wins, four draws, and nine defeats across 19 fixtures. Their recent outings have seen a high volume of goals at both ends, including a 2-2 away draw with Sarpsborg 08 FF and a 4-3 home defeat against Molde. Defensive instability remains a clear issue for the visitors, who have conceded 40 goals in total and 22 in their nine away games.

Recent head-to-head records favour Lillestrom, who took a 2-0 victory when the sides met earlier in the season in April 2026. Across their last eight encounters, Lillestrom have secured four wins and three draws, losing only once.

Analysis

Key factors

Lillestrom are unbeaten in their last three matches against Valerenga, winning all three including a 2-0 victory in April 2026.
Valerenga have conceded 22 goals in nine away league matches, averaging 2.4 goals against per game on the road.
Lillestrom sit seven points ahead of Valerenga in fifth place after 19 rounds of the Eliteserien season.
Valerenga have won only two of their nine away league fixtures this campaign.

Availability

Team news

Lillestrom

E. B. GarnasKnee Injury
C. JebaraInjury

Valerenga

K. FinnssonInjury
E. RashaniInjury

H. SjatilYellow Cards

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lillestrom at homeValerenga away

Played

5-1-5

W-D-L

2-3-6

1.7

Scored /game

1.4

1.5

Conceded /game

2.4

18%

Clean sheets

18%

Failed to score

36%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Lillestrom at home plus Valerenga away).

Players

Key players this season

Lillestrom

Vá5A

Valerenga

L. Haren10G
H. Bjørdal6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
3	MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	23	+17	40
4	TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	23	+11	40
5	Rosenborg	23	+12	37
6	Lillestrom	23	+1	36
7	Brann	23	+3	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	-8	29
9	KFUM Oslo	23	-9	29
10	Sarpsborg 08 FF	23	-6	28
11	Valerenga	23	-8	26
12	Ham-Kam	23	-15	26
13	Sandefjord	23	-8	24
14	AalesundEliteserien (Relegation)	23	-12	24

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

4
Lillestrom: 3
Draws: 1
Valerenga

Lillestrom have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 38% went over 2.5.

2026-04-19Valerenga0-2Lillestrom
2023-10-22Lillestrom2-0Valerenga
2023-05-01Valerenga3-4Lillestrom
2022-09-04Valerenga3-1Lillestrom
2022-05-25Lillestrom2-0Valerenga

BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%60 won from 72 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Lillestrom or Draw

74%

Confidence

Lillestrom hold a strong record against Valerenga, winning each of their last three head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 away victory in April 2026. Valerenga have struggled defensively on their travels, conceding 22 goals across nine away fixtures while winning only twice. Although Lillestrom are managing several injury absences such as Ruben Gabrielsen and Espen Garnas, their fifth-place standing and form advantage over 11th-placed Valerenga make backing them to avoid defeat a well-supported position.

Explore

Lillestrom vs Valerenga prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Lillestrom

Valerenga

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Lillestrom

Valerenga

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Eliteserien

1 published market

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