BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
Referee
Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria
Form

Recent form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Cherno More Varna
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cherno More Varna or Draw

BetGenius backs Cherno More Varna or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Cherno More Varna in round eight of the Bulgarian First League, with both sides searching for positive momentum following difficult starts to the campaign. The hosts sit at the bottom of the table in 14th place with three points, having suffered six defeats in their opening seven fixtures.

Cherno More Varna occupy 11th place on four points and have struggled for consistency, particularly on their travels where they have picked up just one point from four away games. However, their offensive output of eight goals gives them an edge over a Lokomotiv side that has managed only three goals all season and failed to score in five matches.

Recent head-to-head history also tilts towards the visitors. Cherno More are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the teams, having won both encounters earlier this year without conceding a goal.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lokomotiv Plovdiv enter this fixture on a five-match losing streak in the league.
  2. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have scored only three goals in seven matches and failed to score in five of them.
  3. Cherno More Varna are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head encounters against Lokomotiv Plovdiv, winning the last two to nil.
  4. Six of the last ten meetings between these two sides have produced under 2.5 total goals, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lokomotiv Plovdiv at homeCherno More Varna away
4
Played
5
2-0-2
W-D-L
0-1-4
1
Scored /game
0.6
1
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
0%
—
Failed to score
40%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.6 goals per game (Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home plus Cherno More Varna away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8Slavia SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11011
9Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-119
10Dunav Ruseefbet League (Relegation Group)11-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)11-88
12Lokomotiv Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-78
13Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-118
14Cherno More Varnaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-116
History

Head-to-head

3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3
Draws
4
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-06Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Cherno More Varna
  • 2026-05-12Cherno More Varna2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 2026-04-26Lokomotiv Plovdiv0-1Cherno More Varna
  • 2026-02-15Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1Cherno More Varna
  • 2025-08-23Cherno More Varna1-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BetGenius

Our record in First League

67%33 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Cherno More Varna or Draw
68%
Confidence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost five consecutive league matches and six of their seven overall this season. Their major issue is in attack, where they have scored just three goals and failed to find the net in five of seven fixtures. While Cherno More Varna have had their own issues on the road, they possess significantly more attacking threat with eight goals scored and are undefeated in their last four head-to-head meetings against Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Backing the visitors to earn at least a point offers strong coverage given the hosts extended slump.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.