BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Estadio Algarve
Form

Recent form

Louletano
51Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Rio Ave
57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Rio Ave or Draw

BetGenius backs Rio Ave or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Louletano host Rio Ave in the Round of 64 of the Taca de Portugal looking to extend their positive cup run. The home side navigated their earlier ties effectively, recording away victories against FC Serpa by 2-1 and Castrense by 1-0, though their most recent match overall brought a 1-0 loss away to Vitoria de Sernache.

Rio Ave arrive after a high-scoring 3-2 home victory against Nacional, which snapped a difficult run of results. While that recent win demonstrated their offensive potential, defensive vulnerabilities have been evident after conceding 14 goals across their last five matches, alongside consecutive away defeats without scoring against Santa Clara and Alverca.

With Louletano generally involved in lower-scoring contests and Rio Ave seeking stability away from home, this knockout clash may prove closely contested. Backing Rio Ave to either advance in normal time or take the tie to extra time provides solid coverage against a competitive host.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Louletano have won both of their Taca de Portugal ties this season, conceding only once across those two games.
  2. Rio Ave snapped a four-match winless sequence with a 3-2 win against Nacional in their last outing.
  3. Rio Ave have failed to score in their last two away fixtures, suffering defeats at Santa Clara and Alverca.
  4. Louletano have seen under 2.5 goals in three of their last five fixtures, including two 1-0 results.
  5. Rio Ave have conceded 14 goals in their past five matches across all competitions.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Louletano at homeRio Ave away
—
Played
4
—
W-D-L
1-0-3
—
Scored /game
0.5
—
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

0
Louletano
0
Draws
1
Rio Ave

Rio Ave have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-10-17Louletano0-1Rio Ave
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Rio Ave or Draw
72%
Confidence

Rio Ave showed positive attacking signs in their 3-2 win over Nacional, giving them the momentum to avoid defeat in this cup tie. Louletano have won two cup matches this season against FC Serpa and Castrense, but their recent 1-0 defeat against Vitoria de Sernache highlights their modest offensive output. Covering the draw alongside an away result accounts for Rio Ave's recent away struggles, where they failed to score at Alverca and Santa Clara, while respecting Louletano's ability to keep matches low-scoring and competitive on their own patch.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.