BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Form

Recent form

Mafra
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Santa Clara
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Santa Clara or Draw

BetGenius backs Santa Clara or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Mafra host Santa Clara in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal, looking to make home advantage count in knockout competition. The hosts enter the contest following consecutive 2-2 home draws against Tirsense and CF Os Belenenses, showcasing capability in attack while struggling to maintain defensive solidity.

Santa Clara arrive with positive momentum, having put together an unbeaten five-match sequence featuring three wins and two draws. Their recent stability has been built on strong defensive organization, conceding just two goals across those five games and securing clean sheets against SC Braga, Rio Ave, and Casa Pia.

The head-to-head record between these sides stands level at one win apiece from their two meetings in 2024, with Santa Clara taking a 2-0 away victory in the most recent encounter. Given Santa Clara's defensive consistency and Mafra's recent run of high-conceding draws, the visitors appear well-placed to navigate this tie.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Santa Clara are unbeaten across their last five matches with three wins and two draws.
  2. Santa Clara conceded just two goals in their past five games, keeping three clean sheets.
  3. Mafra have conceded at least two goals in three of their last four outings, including back-to-back 2-2 home draws.
  4. Santa Clara won 2-0 in their most recent visit to Mafra in May 2024.
  5. Both previous head-to-head encounters between these two clubs produced under 2.5 total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mafra at homeSanta Clara away
1
Played
—
0-1-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

2
Mafra
0
Draws
1
Santa Clara

Mafra have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-10-18Mafra3-2Santa Clara
  • 2024-05-12Mafra0-2Santa Clara
  • 2024-01-06Santa Clara0-1Mafra
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Santa Clara or Draw
75%
Confidence

Santa Clara bring superior recent form into this knockout clash, having avoided defeat in each of their last five matches with three wins and two draws. During that span, they allowed only two goals and posted clean sheets against SC Braga, Rio Ave, and Casa Pia. Mafra, meanwhile, have conceded two goals in three of their last four matches, including back-to-back 2-2 draws at home. Santa Clara also proved capable at this ground with a 2-0 win on their last trip to Mafra in May 2024. Backing Santa Clara on the double chance accounts for both a regulation victory and a draw.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.