Mirassol have avoided defeat in 12 of their 16 home fixtures in Serie A, including consecutive 2-0 victories against Internacional and Botafogo in recent weeks. Sao Paulo have struggled considerably away from home all season, suffering 10 losses across 15 away trips and scoring just 11 goals in the process. Combined with Mirassol's strong record in this specific fixture, where they have won the last two home meetings, backing the home side to earn at least a point represents the most measured reading of the data.
- Round
- Regular Season - 32
- Venue
- José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol
- Referee
- Lucas Casagrande
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Mirassol or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Mirassol welcome Sao Paulo to the Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia for round 32 of Serie A, with both sides seeking crucial points at different ends of the table. Mirassol occupy 14th place with 36 points, looking to maintain distance from the relegation zone. Sao Paulo sit 9th on 42 points, aiming to strengthen their position in the Copa Sudamericana qualification places.
The dynamic of this clash is heavily influenced by venue splits. Mirassol have been dependable on their own turf, recording seven wins and five draws from 16 home matches while suffering only four defeats. In contrast, Sao Paulo have endured significant difficulties on their travels throughout the campaign, collecting only two victories and three draws while losing 10 of their 15 away matches.
Recent meetings between these teams in Mirassol also lean toward the hosts, who won the last two home encounters by identical 3-0 margins in January 2026 and October 2025. With Sao Paulo averaging only 0.7 goals per game on the road and missing several squad members including Ferreira, Buta, and D. Duarte, Mirassol possess the structural advantage to secure a positive result.
Key factors
- Sao Paulo have lost 10 of their 15 away matches in Serie A this season.
- Mirassol have been beaten only four times in 16 home league games, winning seven and drawing five.
- Sao Paulo average only 0.7 goals scored per away match and have failed to score in six away fixtures.
- Mirassol have won their previous two home encounters against Sao Paulo, both by 3-0 scorelines.
- Sao Paulo are missing multiple options through injury including Ferreira, Buta, and D. Duarte.
Team news
Mirassol
- NeguebaKnee Injury
- Jose AldoMuscle Injury
- Andre LuisYellow Cards
Sao Paulo
- ButaKnee Injury
- D. DuarteKnee Injury
- FerreiraInjury
- N. BosshardtInactive
- CaulyInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Mirassol at home plus Sao Paulo away).
Key players this season
Sao Paulo
- J. Calleri10G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 | BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | -7 | 33 |
| 17 | InternacionalRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -7 | 32 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Mirassol
- 2
- Draws
- 4
- Sao Paulo
the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-04-26Sao Paulo1-0Mirassol
- 2026-01-11Mirassol3-0Sao Paulo
- 2025-10-19Mirassol3-0Sao Paulo
- 2025-05-24Sao Paulo0-2Mirassol
- 2025-02-05Sao Paulo4-1Mirassol
Our record in Serie A
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
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Teams around them in the table
Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

