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Sun 18 Oct · 16:00

Molde vs Start prediction

Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Aker Stadion, Molde
Referee
Stian Rovig Sletner
Form

Recent form

Molde
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +12 goal difference

Start
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Molde enter round 24 sitting fourth in the Eliteserien table on 37 points, firmly in the hunt for European qualification. Their home record has been productive with seven wins from 11 matches, generating 24 goals while conceding 13. However, recent fixtures have shown some defensive vulnerability, including a 1-2 home defeat to Aalesund and a 2-2 draw at Lillestrom, alongside several squad absences including Eirik Hestad and Vegard Hoff.

Bottom-placed Start arrive with 16 points from 22 league outings and face severe relegation danger. Their away form has been particularly fragile, suffering nine defeats across 11 road trips while allowing 29 goals at an average of 2.6 per match. While they have displayed offensive spark recently, highlighted by a 2-1 win against Brann and a 5-1 victory over Raufoss, their defensive issues were on display again in their latest 2-4 home loss to Ham-Kam.

With Molde averaging 2.2 goals per game at home and Start conceding at an elevated rate on the road, goal expectancy is high. Their head-to-head history follows the same trajectory, with five of their previous seven meetings producing three or more goals at an average of 3.71 goals per fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Molde have scored 24 goals in 11 home fixtures, averaging 2.2 goals per home match.
  2. Start have conceded 29 goals in 11 away games, an average of 2.6 conceded per road match, with zero away clean sheets.
  3. Each of Molde's last five matches and each of Start's last five matches have cleared the 2.5 goal mark.
  4. Five of the last seven head-to-head encounters between these sides produced over 2.5 goals, with an overall average of 3.71 goals per game.
  5. Start have lost nine of their 11 away league fixtures this season while Molde have failed to score in only one home game.
Availability

Team news

Molde

  • S. HansenInjury
  • E. HestadLeg Injury
  • V. HoffKnee Injury
  • M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
  • H. StenevikInjury
  • S. DiopInactive

Start

  • J. HuseboFoot Injury
  • F. ManojlovicHand Injury
  • K. TonnesenLeg Injury
  • E. SegbergYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Molde at homeStart away
12
Played
12
8-1-3
W-D-L
1-1-10
2.5
Scored /game
0.9
1.2
Conceded /game
2.9
25%
Clean sheets
0%
8%
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Molde at home plus Start away).

Players

Key players this season

Molde

  • E. Breivik9G · 9A
  • K. Lonebu8G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3856
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3756
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
13Sandefjord23-824
14AalesundEliteserien (Relegation)23-1224
15Kristiansund BKRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2419
16StartRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2916
History

Head-to-head

5
Molde
3
Draws
0
Start

Molde have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 4.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 88% of them.

  • 2026-10-18Molde6-1Start
  • 2026-04-19Start1-1Molde
  • 2020-08-05Molde5-0Start
  • 2020-06-24Start2-3Molde
  • 2018-10-29Start1-3Molde
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%57 won from 69 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Both clubs have consistently featured in open, high-scoring matches. Each of Molde's last five fixtures across all competitions has generated at least three goals, including a 2-2 draw with Lillestrom and high-scoring victories over Ham-Kam and Trygg/Lade. Molde average 2.2 goals scored per home match, while Start have conceded 29 goals in 11 away fixtures, representing an average of 2.6 conceded per away outing. Start's recent games show a similar pattern, with their last five matches all producing over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, 71.4 percent of the past seven head-to-head encounters between these teams have cleared the 2.5 goal line, averaging 3.71 goals per game.

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Published October 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.