BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Mortágua
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Leça
81Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Mortágua or Draw

BetGenius backs Mortágua or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Mortágua host Leça in the Taça de Portugal Round of 128, looking to extend their positive run of form in cup competition. Mortágua enter this knockout fixture unbeaten in their last five outings across all competitions, picking up three wins and two draws. Their home performances have been especially reliable, featuring consecutive victories against Nazarenos (3-1) and Fazendense (2-1).

Leça travel on the back of mixed results across their recent fixtures, having recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches. While they suffered heavy defeats to Fafe (0-3) and Guimarães B (0-2), they have shown attacking quality in away trips, including a 4-1 victory over Trofense and a 2-1 win at Paredes.

With both sides showing capability in the final third and knockout football bringing natural urgency, Mortágua hold the edge on home soil given their steady momentum and solid defensive stability.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Mortágua are undefeated in their last five matches across all competitions, recording three wins and two draws.
  2. Mortágua have scored five goals across their last two home fixtures, winning 2-1 against Fazendense and 3-1 against Nazarenos.
  3. Leça have suffered two multi-goal defeats in their last four matches, losing 3-0 to Fafe and 2-0 to Guimarães B.
  4. Leça have shown scoring capacity on the road, netting six goals across their last two away wins at Trofense and Paredes.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mortágua at homeLeça away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Mortágua or Draw
68%
Confidence

Mortágua have remained undefeated across their last five matches, earning three wins and two draws while conceding only four goals in that span. Their strong home form includes back-to-back multi-goal wins against Fazendense and Nazarenos. Leça have displayed volatility, alternating between impressive away wins and multi-goal defeats, making the home side well positioned to avoid defeat in regular time.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.