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Sat 5 Sept · 19:45

Nice vs Le Mans prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Referee
Jeremie Pignard, France

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Nice
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Le Mans
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Le Mans or Draw

BetGenius backs Le Mans or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Nice welcome Le Mans to the Allianz Riviera for matchday 3 of the Ligue 1 season, with both sides searching for their first league victory of the campaign. Nice enter the match sitting in 17th place with one point, having opened their season with a 0-0 home draw against Lorient before suffering a 3-0 away defeat to Paris FC.

Le Mans occupy 13th position with one point from two matches, having showcased plenty of attacking intent alongside defensive vulnerabilities. They earned a 2-2 home draw against Stade Brestois 29 on the opening weekend before falling to a narrow 3-2 defeat away at Rennes.

Nice have struggled significantly in the final third, failing to score in both Ligue 1 outings and throughout their recent run of five matches across all competitions. Meanwhile, Le Mans have found the net four times in two fixtures, powered by L. Mafouta, who has registered three goals and one assist. With key personnel missing on both sides, including Nice midfielders M. Sanson and L. Abergel alongside Le Mans defender D. Sidibe serving a suspension, the visitors have shown enough attacking sharpness to test a misfiring home side.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nice have failed to score a single goal in their opening two Ligue 1 fixtures and in their last five matches overall.
  2. Le Mans forward L. Mafouta has been involved in all four of his team's league goals, recording three goals and one assist.
  3. Nice are dealing with several injury absences including A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, and M. Sanson.
  4. Le Mans have scored two goals in each of their first two Ligue 1 matches against Stade Brestois 29 and Rennes.
  5. Le Mans will be without D. Sidibe due to suspension following a red card.
Availability

Team news

Nice

  • A. AbdiMuscle Injury
  • L. AbergelKnee Injury
  • M. BombitoLeg Injury
  • A. MendyKnee Injury

Le Mans

  • A. BourabaaAnkle Injury
  • E. ColasInjury
  • H. VoyerThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nice at homeLe Mans away
4
Played
3
2-2-0
W-D-L
0-1-2
1.3
Scored /game
1.3
0.8
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Nice at home plus Le Mans away).

Players

Key players this season

Le Mans

  • L. Mafouta4G
  • A. BourabaaAnkle Injury3G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
0
Nice
1
Draws
1
Le Mans

Le Mans have won 1 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2026-09-05Nice1-1Le Mans
  • 2019-10-30Le Mans3-2Nice
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Le Mans or Draw
68%
Confidence

Nice have experienced severe attacking difficulties, failing to score in each of their last five matches across all competitions, including both Ligue 1 games to start the season. Le Mans have shown far greater offensive rhythm, scoring four goals across their two fixtures behind the form of L. Mafouta. Given Nice's lack of goal output and several key absences through injury, Le Mans have a solid probability of securing at least a point away from home.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.