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Sun 20 Sept · 16:15

Nice vs Lille prediction

Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Referee
Willy Delajod, France
Form

Recent form

Nice
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Lille
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lille or Draw

BetGenius backs Lille or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Ligue 1 leaders Lille travel to the Allianz Riviera to face bottom-of-the-table Nice in a matchday five encounter. The visitors have made an impressive start to their league campaign, collecting ten points from four matches with three wins and a draw, including consecutive away victories without conceding a single goal.

Nice find themselves in the relegation zone after picking up only two points from their opening matches. Scoring has been a significant issue for the home side, who have netted just one goal in league play this season and have drawn both of their home fixtures.

With Nice dealing with several squad absences and Lille demonstrating disciplined defensive organisation on the road, the league leaders look well placed to maintain their unbeaten domestic start.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lille sit first in Ligue 1 with ten points from four games and remain undefeated in domestic competition.
  2. Lille have won both away fixtures this season by aggregate score of 3-0, keeping clean sheets in both.
  3. Nice occupy 18th place in the table and have scored only one league goal across the opening rounds.
  4. Nice have drawn both of their home matches this campaign, scoring once and conceding once at home.
  5. Nice are missing multiple players through injury, including L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy and M. Sanson.
Availability

Team news

Nice

  • A. AbdiMuscle Injury
  • L. AbergelKnee Injury
  • M. BombitoLeg Injury
  • A. MendyKnee Injury

Lille

  • H. IgamaneKnee Injury
  • T. SantosKnee Injury
  • A. UedaFoot Injury
  • O. SahraouiCoach's decision
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nice at homeLille away
4
Played
3
2-2-0
W-D-L
2-0-1
1.3
Scored /game
1.3
0.8
Conceded /game
0.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Nice at home plus Lille away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1LyonChampions League league stage7+814
2Paris Saint GermainChampions League league stage7+514
3Paris FCChampions League league stage7+514
4LilleQualifying7+514
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
History

Head-to-head

4
Nice
4
Draws
2
Lille

Nice have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-04-18Lille0-0Nice
  • 2025-10-29Nice2-0Lille
  • 2025-01-17Lille2-1Nice
  • 2024-11-10Nice2-2Lille
  • 2024-05-19Lille2-2Nice
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Lille or Draw
78%
Confidence

Lille sit at the top of Ligue 1 with ten points from four matches and have won both of their away games to nil against Toulouse and Angers. In contrast, Nice sit 18th in the standings and have managed only one goal across their league fixtures, while also missing key personnel including L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy and M. Sanson. Backing Lille to secure at least a point covers both an outright away win and a low-scoring draw, which aligns with Nice drawing both of their home matches this term.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.