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Sun 18 Oct · 00:00

North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W prediction

Follow North Carolina Courage WFollow San Diego Wave WFollow this match
Round
Group Stage
Venue
WakeMed Soccer Park, Kari
Referee
Brad Jensen, USA

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

North Carolina Courage W
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -3 goal difference

San Diego Wave W
92Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
San Diego Wave W or Draw

BetGenius backs San Diego Wave W or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

San Diego Wave travel to North Carolina Courage aiming to extend their four-match winning run and cement their place near the summit of the NWSL table. Sitting second with 51 points from 27 matches, the Wave enter this fixture in commanding form, having recently posted victories over Orlando Pride, Racing Louisville, Kansas City, and North Carolina themselves.

North Carolina Courage occupy eighth place with 42 points, holding onto the final playoff quarter-final berth. While they earned a 1-0 away win against Seattle Reign in their previous outing, they had dropped three consecutive games prior to that, including a 2-1 loss against San Diego in mid-September. Their home form has been inconsistent across the campaign, with six wins, one draw, and six defeats.

San Diego have proved sturdy on the road, taking eight wins and two draws from 13 away fixtures while conceding just 13 goals. With North Carolina fighting to protect their playoff position and San Diego demonstrating defensive resilience, this matchup promises to be tightly contested.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. San Diego Wave enter on a four-game winning streak and sit second in the standings with 51 points.
  2. San Diego Wave have suffered only three away defeats in 13 road games this season.
  3. North Carolina Courage have been defeated in three of their last four matches.
  4. Three of the four previous meetings played at North Carolina have produced fewer than 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

North Carolina Courage W at homeSan Diego Wave W away
14
Played
14
6-1-7
W-D-L
9-2-3
1.9
Scored /game
1.5
1.6
Conceded /game
1
21%
Clean sheets
29%
7%
Failed to score
21%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (North Carolina Courage W at home plus San Diego Wave W away).

Players

Key players this season

North Carolina Courage W

  • A. Sanchez15G · 5A

San Diego Wave W

  • T. Byars10G
  • Luisa Agudelo5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1355
2San Diego Wave WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1354
3Washington Spirit WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1452
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
North Carolina Courage W
3
Draws
5
San Diego Wave W

San Diego Wave W have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-17North Carolina Courage W1-2San Diego Wave W
  • 2026-09-12San Diego Wave W2-1North Carolina Courage W
  • 2025-08-02North Carolina Courage W0-0San Diego Wave W
  • 2025-05-26San Diego Wave W5-2North Carolina Courage W
  • 2024-10-05North Carolina Courage W2-1San Diego Wave W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
San Diego Wave W or Draw
74%
Confidence

San Diego Wave arrive in excellent form with four consecutive victories, including a 2-1 win over North Carolina Courage on September 12. The Wave boast one of the strongest away records in the division, securing points in 10 of their 13 away fixtures with eight wins, two draws, and only 13 goals conceded. North Carolina have dropped six of their 13 home games this season and have lost three of their last four matches overall. Furthermore, San Diego have avoided defeat in three of their four historical visits to North Carolina, making the away win or draw a solidly backed outcome.

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Published October 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.