BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
Referee
A. Kitchen
Form

Recent form

Nottingham Forest
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Leeds
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Leeds or Draw

BetGenius backs Leeds or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Nottingham Forest host Leeds in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup, just three days after the two sides met at the City Ground in league action. In that previous encounter on August 22, Leeds came away with a 1-0 away victory, extending their impressive run of recent form.

Leeds enter this cup tie unbeaten across their last five recorded fixtures, claiming four victories—including wins over Liverpool (4-2), RB Leipzig (2-0), and FC Augsburg (4-0)—alongside a 1-1 draw with Manchester United and their weekend triumph against Forest. Despite injuries to W. Gnonto, G. Gudmundsson, and M. Joseph, the visitors have maintained strong defensive stability and clinical finishing.

Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, have shown mixed form across their last five outings with two wins and three defeats. Crucially, they have been held scoreless in all three of those losses, including the recent 0-1 defeat to Leeds and 0-1 results against Barcelona and Udinese. With N. Savona and R. Yates sidelined through injury, Forest face a challenging task in reversing the weekend's result in quick succession.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Leeds defeated Nottingham Forest 1-0 at the City Ground just three days prior on August 22.
  2. Leeds are unbeaten in their last five fixtures, winning four and drawing one.
  3. Nottingham Forest have failed to score in three of their last five recorded matches.
  4. Leeds have won the two most recent head-to-head encounters (1-0 away in August 2026 and 3-1 home in February 2026).
  5. Availability concerns affect both sides, with Forest missing N. Savona and R. Yates, while Leeds are without W. Gnonto, G. Gudmundsson, and M. Joseph.
Availability

Team news

Nottingham Forest

  • Igor JesusCalf Injury
  • N. SavonaKnee Injury

Leeds

  • M. JosephKnee Injury
  • J. RodonMuscle Injury
  • D. JamesBack Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nottingham Forest at homeLeeds away
4
Played
3
0-1-3
W-D-L
1-1-1
0
Scored /game
1
0.8
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1 goals per game (Nottingham Forest at home plus Leeds away).

History

Head-to-head

4
Nottingham Forest
1
Draws
4
Leeds

the last 9 meetings are split 4-4 with 1 drawn, averaging 2.8 goals a game.

  • 2026-08-22Nottingham Forest0-1Leeds
  • 2026-02-06Leeds3-1Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-11-09Nottingham Forest3-1Leeds
  • 2023-07-27Nottingham Forest0-2Leeds
  • 2023-04-04Leeds2-1Nottingham Forest
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Leeds or Draw
74%
Confidence

Leeds enter this knockout clash on a five-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, having just defeated Nottingham Forest 1-0 at the City Ground on August 22. Forest have failed to score in three of their last five matches, and backing Leeds to avoid defeat in regulation provides a robust position given recent form and head-to-head momentum.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.