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Sat 12 Sept · 15:00

Ordabasy vs FC Astana prediction

Follow OrdabasyFollow FC AstanaFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
Referee
B. Sariev

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Ordabasy
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

FC Astana
64Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Ordabasy or Draw

BetGenius backs Ordabasy or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Ordabasy host FC Astana in a pivotal top-three clash in the Premier League. The hosts sit second in the table with 55 points from 24 matches, trailing the league leaders by two points. Ordabasy have established formidable form on their own ground, remaining unbeaten at home with 11 wins and two draws while conceding only eight goals across 13 home fixtures.

FC Astana enter the contest in third place on 45 points with a game in hand. While their home record matches Ordabasy with 11 victories, their performances on the road have been far more vulnerable. Astana have managed only two wins from 11 away league outings, drawing five and losing four, while conceding 16 goals.

The previous encounter between the sides in April 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw in Astana, following a 1-0 home victory for Ordabasy in their 2025 meeting. With Ordabasy aiming to maintain their title push and protecting an undefeated home record, they hold a distinct positional edge over an Astana side that frequently drops points away from home.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ordabasy are undefeated in all 13 home league matches this season, recording 11 wins and two draws.
  2. FC Astana have won just two of their 11 away league games, drawing five and losing four.
  3. Ordabasy have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per game at home across 13 fixtures.
  4. FC Astana have failed to score in five of their 11 away matches this season.
  5. The two most recent meetings between the sides produced a 1-0 win for Ordabasy at home and a 1-1 draw in Astana.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ordabasy at homeFC Astana away
14
Played
12
12-2-0
W-D-L
2-5-5
2
Scored /game
0.9
0.6
Conceded /game
1.4
50%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
50%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Ordabasy at home plus FC Astana away).

Players

Key players this season

Ordabasy

  • Léo Natel3G

FC Astana

  • B. Kalaica1G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1OrdabasyQualifying27+3564
2Kairat AlmatyQualifying27+3863
3FC Astana27+1649
4Okzhetpes28+548
5Aktobe28+745
6Yelimay Semey28+244
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
3
Ordabasy
1
Draws
6
FC Astana

FC Astana have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-04-11FC Astana1-1Ordabasy
  • 2025-07-13Ordabasy1-0FC Astana
  • 2025-04-05FC Astana2-1Ordabasy
  • 2024-09-22Ordabasy2-4FC Astana
  • 2024-06-16FC Astana0-1Ordabasy
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

47%27 won from 58 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Ordabasy or Draw
75%
Confidence

Ordabasy have been exceptionally reliable on home soil this campaign, posting an undefeated record of 11 wins and two draws with 27 goals scored and only eight conceded. Conversely, FC Astana have found away fixtures challenging, claiming victory in just two of their 11 away games and failing to score in five of them. With Ordabasy avoiding defeat in every home match so far and taking points in their last two head-to-head encounters with Astana, backing the home side to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes.

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Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpesAktobeYelimay SemeyFK Tobol KostanayUlytau
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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.