BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Referee
J. Harman
Form

Recent form

Penybont
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +3 goal difference

Briton Ferry
5Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -11 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Penybont or Draw

BetGenius backs Penybont or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Penybont welcome Briton Ferry to SDM Glass Stadium sitting fourth in the table on 18 points and carrying an unbeaten start to their league campaign. Across their seven recorded league fixtures, Penybont have compiled four wins and three draws, maintaining a tight defensive record with only five goals conceded overall and just two conceded in four home matches.

Briton Ferry arrive in contrasting form, occupying 12th place in the relegation group zone with seven points. They have lost four of their seven league outings, including three consecutive defeats in which they conceded nine goals while scoring only once. On their travels, Briton Ferry have struggled for offensive output, scoring two goals across four away matches and averaging just 0.5 goals per game.

Head-to-head history also favors the hosts. Across nine past encounters between the sides, Penybont have recorded four victories and four draws, suffering only a single defeat. With Penybont resilient at home and Briton Ferry experiencing scoring difficulties on the road, the hosts hold a solid tactical advantage.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Penybont are unbeaten in league action with four wins and three draws from seven matches.
  2. Briton Ferry are on a three-match losing run, conceding nine goals across those games.
  3. Briton Ferry average 0.5 goals scored per game away from home and have failed to score in three of their last five matches.
  4. Penybont have conceded only two goals across four home league matches (0.5 per game).
  5. Penybont have lost just one of their nine historical meetings against Briton Ferry.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Penybont at homeBriton Ferry away
5
Played
6
3-2-0
W-D-L
1-1-4
1.4
Scored /game
0.8
0.8
Conceded /game
1.8
40%
Clean sheets
17%
20%
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Penybont at home plus Briton Ferry away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+2131
3PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+1430
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+2429
5Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+726
6Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+525
8Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+822
9Cambrian & ClydachPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14-1318
10LlandudnoPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)13-116
11Briton FerryCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-1212
12Flint Town UnitedCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-1111
13Haverfordwest County AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group)13-1110
14Ammanford AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-319
History

Head-to-head

4
Penybont
4
Draws
1
Briton Ferry

Penybont have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game.

  • 2025-12-26Penybont1-1Briton Ferry
  • 2025-10-18Briton Ferry0-5Penybont
  • 2025-10-03Briton Ferry0-0Penybont
  • 2025-09-10Penybont2-2Briton Ferry
  • 2024-09-24Penybont0-1Briton Ferry
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

64%59 won from 92 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Penybont or Draw
78%
Confidence

Penybont remain unbeaten in league play with four wins and three draws, conceding only two goals across four home matches. Briton Ferry have lost their last three matches consecutively and have managed just one win in four away games this season. Penybont have also avoided defeat in eight of their nine previous meetings with Briton Ferry.

FeaturedLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
67%
Confidence

Briton Ferry have failed to find the net in three of their seven league games, including two of their four away fixtures where they average only 0.5 goals scored per match. Penybont have conceded an average of just 0.5 goals per game on home turf and have kept three clean sheets this campaign, while head-to-head encounters show both teams scoring in only 33.33 percent of their nine previous meetings.

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Published September 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.