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Thu 22 Oct · 20:00

Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction

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Round: League Stage - 3
Venue: Doosan Arena, Pilsner
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Plzen

43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +1 goal difference

Levski Sofia

68Strong

Last 4 matches · 2W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals

Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 1.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Plzen welcome Levski Sofia for matchday three of the UEFA Europa League stage, looking to bounce back in European competition after a challenging run of results. The Czech outfit has been involved in high-event fixtures across recent outings, displaying sharp attacking form at home but showing persistent vulnerabilities at the back that opponents have repeatedly exploited.

Levski Sofia arrive with a more conservative profile, having shown defensive discipline in recent competitive games. The Bulgarian side picked up an away draw at NEC Nijmegen in their previous round and followed it with domestic victories, though they have operated with lower scoring margins and have created relatively few high-volume shootouts.

With Plzen averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded at home in this competition, the dynamic sets up an open game. However, Levski Sofia have yet to see any of their recent matches clear three goals, pointing towards a contest that is likely to produce scoring action without necessarily spiralling into an overwhelming goalfest.

Analysis

Key factors

Plzen have not kept a single clean sheet across four cup matches, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game at home.
All five of Plzen's most recent fixtures across competitions produced three or more goals.
Levski Sofia have seen exactly two goals scored in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
Levski Sofia have averaged just 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in the competition so far, keeping totals contained.
Both sides are managing multiple squad absences due to injury, potentially testing defensive continuity.

Availability

Team news

Plzen

V. JemelkaKnee Injury
J. PaluskaInjury
M. TvrdonOff the roster

P. AduCoach's decision

Levski Sofia

P. HristovOff the roster
O. KamdemOff the roster
R. KirilovKnee Injury
A. MitkovInjury
M. SangareOff the roster
A. BourasMuscle Injury

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Plzen at homeLevski Sofia away

Played

2-2-2

W-D-L

0-1-0

1.8

Scored /game

—

1.7

Conceded /game

—

17%

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

80%

BTTS (last 5)

—

100%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

—

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
14	Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+5	4
15	Crystal PalacePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+3	4
16	Sparta PrahaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+2	4
17	Levski SofiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	0	4
18	Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-1	4
19	Sturm GrazPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-2	4
20	NEC NijmegenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-3	4
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	-5	1
31	Lillestrom	3	-7	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	-8	1
33	Plzen	3	-5	0
34	Marseille	3	-5	0
35	Celtic	3	-6	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	-9	0

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa League

60%59 won from 98 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

2 published markets

GoalsWON

Total Goals

Over 1.5 Goals

78%

Confidence

Plzen have seen at least two goals scored in each of their last five matches across all competitions, including 3-2 and 3-0 wins alongside 2-1 and 3-0 defeats. Their cup matches overall have produced an average of 3.8 total goals, with no clean sheets recorded across four games. While Plzen's defensive frailties invite goals, Levski Sofia have maintained tight scorelines, with their recent fixtures finishing 2-0, 1-1, and 2-0. Because Levski Sofia rarely participate in games with three or more goals, the evidence strongly supports two or more strikes being found without enough backing to warrant taking the higher line.

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Levski Sofia or Draw

70%

Confidence

Levski Sofia have won two of their last three away games and drawn the other, showing confidence on the road. Plzen’s home form is volatile, with a big win followed by a heavy loss, and three key players are unavailable through injury. The combination of Levski’s recent away success and Plzen’s defensive frailties suggests Levski are unlikely to lose, while the overall scoring rate of both teams points to a total below 2.5 goals.

Explore

Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Plzen

Levski Sofia

Statistical comparison

Table context

Our record in UEFA Europa League

2 published markets

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