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Sun 4 Oct · 01:45

Portland Thorns W vs Boston Legacy W prediction

Follow Portland Thorns WFollow Boston Legacy WFollow this match
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Providence Park, Portland
Referee
Calin Radosav

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Portland Thorns W
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

Boston Legacy W
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Portland Thorns W or Draw

BetGenius backs Portland Thorns W or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Portland Thorns W welcome Boston Legacy W in NWSL action, with both sides occupying very different positions in the standings. Portland sit in fifth place with 43 points from 26 matches, holding a playoff spot behind an impressive home record where they have suffered just one defeat in 13 league fixtures, conceding only nine goals in that span.

Boston Legacy W enter this clash in 14th place with 26 points from their 26 games. While Boston have recorded a couple of away victories recently, including wins against Washington Spirit and Utah Royals, their overall campaign shows 14 defeats and a negative 12 goal difference across the season.

The previous encounter between these two teams produced an eventful seven-goal contest, where Portland secured a 4-3 victory on the road. Back at Providence Park, Portland's defensive solidity on home turf gives them a notable edge against a struggling Boston unit.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Portland Thorns W have lost only one of their 13 home matches this season, compiling seven wins and five draws.
  2. Portland boast a solid defensive record at home, conceding only 0.7 goals per game with seven clean sheets.
  3. Boston Legacy W have suffered 14 losses in 26 league matches and hold a -12 goal difference.
  4. The sole previous head-to-head meeting ended in a 4-3 victory for Portland Thorns W away from home.
  5. Portland's attack features S. Smith with 11 league goals and P. Tordin with seven assists.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Portland Thorns W at homeBoston Legacy W away
14
Played
13
7-5-2
W-D-L
4-3-6
1.7
Scored /game
1.2
0.9
Conceded /game
1.5
50%
Clean sheets
15%
7%
Failed to score
31%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Portland Thorns W at home plus Boston Legacy W away).

Players

Key players this season

Portland Thorns W

  • S. Smith11G
  • P. Tordin7A

Boston Legacy W

  • Gutierres Amanda10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
13Boston Legacy W28-932
14Bay FC W28-1427
15Racing Louisville W28-1724
16Chicago Red Stars W29-5217
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
1
Portland Thorns W
0
Draws
0
Boston Legacy W

Portland Thorns W have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-08-09Boston Legacy W3-4Portland Thorns W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Portland Thorns W or Draw
78%
Confidence

Portland Thorns W have established a very resilient record at home, winning seven and drawing five of their 13 home matches while conceding just nine goals and keeping seven clean sheets. In contrast, Boston Legacy W have lost 14 of their 26 league matches this season. Portland also claimed victory in the only previous meeting between the sides, scoring four goals away from home. Backing Portland to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against their recent run of home draws while reflecting their clear season-long advantage in form and league standing.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
Confidence

Both sides possess profiles that align well with clearing the 2.5 goal mark. Boston Legacy W have conceded 44 goals in 26 matches this season and four of their last five league fixtures have produced three or more goals. Portland Thorns W average 1.7 goals scored per home match and feature potent attacking options led by S. Smith. Furthermore, the previous direct clash between these two teams produced seven total goals in a 4-3 scoreline, indicating open tactical dynamics that favor an active scoreline beyond two goals.

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Published October 2, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.