Qarabag have taken ten points from four league games and hold a 100 percent winning record at home, averaging 3.0 goals scored per match. In contrast, Safa Baku have lost three of their four recorded league games and carry a minus-eight goal difference in the standings, having conceded four goals in their last away trip to Neftchi Baku. The gap in attacking output and table standing establishes Qarabag as decisive favourites to secure all three points.
- Round
- Regular Season - 6
- Venue
- Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
- Referee
- V. Hasanli
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 4 matches · 2W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -8 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Qarabag to win (Match Winner) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Qarabag welcome Safa Baku to the Premyer Liqa in round six, looking to maintain their strong domestic start. The hosts sit third in the table with ten points from four matches, having won three and drawn one while scoring eight goals and conceding four. They boast a perfect home record in the league with two wins from two, averaging three goals scored per contest on their own turf.
Safa Baku find themselves near the foot of the table in tenth place with three points from their opening matches. Their away form shows one victory alongside two defeats, conceding six goals across three road fixtures. A recent 4-1 away loss against Neftchi Baku highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities against top-tier opposition.
With Qarabag scoring in every league match so far and Safa Baku averaging two goals conceded per away match, the hosts hold a significant statistical and form advantage heading into this encounter.
Key factors
- Qarabag are unbeaten in the league with three wins and one draw from four matches.
- Qarabag have won both home league fixtures, scoring six goals across those two games.
- Safa Baku sit tenth in the standings with three points and a minus-eight goal difference.
- Safa Baku have conceded an average of two goals per match in away league games.
- Qarabag have scored in all four of their league matches this season.
Statistical comparison
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FAPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 2 | Neftchi BakuPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 8 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 7 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Zira | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Kapaz | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Turan | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Qabala | 9 | -11 | 7 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 8 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation) | 9 | -12 | 3 |
| 12 | ArazRelegation - I Liqa | 9 | -12 | 2 |
Head-to-head
- 1
- Qarabag
- 0
- Draws
- 0
- Safa Baku
Qarabag have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.
- 2026-09-18Qarabag1-0Safa Baku
Our record in Premyer Liqa
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

