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Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Real
75Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Academica
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Real or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Real or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Real welcome Academica in the Round of 128 of the Taca de Portugal, with the two sides entering this knockout tie on contrasting runs of form. The hosts have generated positive momentum over their recent outings, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three victories and two draws across all competitions.

In contrast, Academica arrive following a difficult stretch that has seen them lose three consecutive fixtures. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident during that run, with nine goals conceded across those three defeats, including a 4-1 away loss at Penafiel and a 3-0 home defeat against Benfica B.

With knockout football raising the stakes, Real will aim to capitalise on their home setting and solid recent scoring record, having found the net in each of their last five matches. Academica must tighten up defensively if they are to halt their losing streak and advance in the cup.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Real at homeAcademica away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

1
Real
0
Draws
4
Academica

Academica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-09-18Real1-4Academica
  • 2023-03-11Real1-2Academica
  • 2022-12-04Academica0-2Real
  • 2018-04-21Academica1-0Real
  • 2017-12-09Real3-4Academica
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Real or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both must land · no better than

Real or Draw — 74% confidence

Real have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws while consistently producing goals. Academica have faltered in recent weeks, losing three matches in a row and conceding nine times in the process. Given the contrasting recent trajectories and Real playing at home, backing Real to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes for this tie.

Over 2.5 Goals — 64% confidence

Recent matches involving both sides have featured plenty of goalmouth action. Academica have conceded nine goals across their past three outings, while Real have scored in all five of their recent fixtures, including high-scoring affairs such as a 5-5 draw with Lajense and a 3-0 win over FBC Riograndense RS. The historical meetings between the two also carry a 3.25 goal average, supporting a game with at least three goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Confidence

Recent matches involving both sides have featured plenty of goalmouth action. Academica have conceded nine goals across their past three outings, while Real have scored in all five of their recent fixtures, including high-scoring affairs such as a 5-5 draw with Lajense and a 3-0 win over FBC Riograndense RS. The historical meetings between the two also carry a 3.25 goal average, supporting a game with at least three goals.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Real or Draw
74%
Confidence

Real have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws while consistently producing goals. Academica have faltered in recent weeks, losing three matches in a row and conceding nine times in the process. Given the contrasting recent trajectories and Real playing at home, backing Real to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes for this tie.

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Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.