BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
Referee
Geoffrey Kubler
Form

Recent form

Rodez
28Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Montpellier
64Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Montpellier or Draw

BetGenius backs Montpellier or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Rodez welcome Montpellier to Stade Paul Lignon for round nine of Ligue 2, with both sides occupying very different areas of the table. Rodez sit 17th in the relegation zone with seven points from eight matches, having managed two wins, one draw, and five defeats. In contrast, Montpellier enter the contest in fifth position on 15 points, firmly in the promotion play-off zone after losing just once in their opening eight fixtures.

The defining contrast between the two clubs lies in defensive stability. Rodez have conceded 18 goals in eight games at an average of 2.3 per match, failing to keep a clean sheet home or away. Montpellier, on the other hand, have maintained five clean sheets in eight outings and conceded only five goals in total, an average of 0.6 per game.

While Rodez carry attacking threat through I. Balde, who has scored five goals this season, their frailties at the back leave them vulnerable against well-structured opposition. Montpellier have proven difficult to break down, suffering only one defeat across the opening two months of the campaign.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Montpellier have lost only one of their eight Ligue 2 matches this season, recording four wins and three draws.
  2. Rodez have conceded 18 goals in eight matches and have kept zero clean sheets across home and away fixtures.
  3. Montpellier have registered five clean sheets in eight league games, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per game.
  4. Rodez sit 17th in the relegation positions having lost five of their eight league fixtures.
  5. Montpellier have won six of the nine recorded head-to-head encounters between the two clubs.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Rodez at homeMontpellier away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
2-1-1
2
Scored /game
1
2
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Rodez at home plus Montpellier away).

Players

Key players this season

Rodez

  • I. Baldé5G
  • R. Lipinski3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Saint EtiennePromotion - Ligue 19+1422
2NancyPromotion - Ligue 110+419
3MontpellierPromotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)9+618
4ReimsPromotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)9+817
5PAUPromotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+317
6RED Star FC 939+217
14Nantes9-58
15Grenoble10-88
16Clermont FootLigue 2 (Relegation)10-57
17RodezRelegation - Ligue 39-77
18LavalRelegation - Ligue 310-86
History

Head-to-head

3
Rodez
0
Draws
7
Montpellier

Montpellier have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-19Rodez0-3Montpellier
  • 2026-08-01Montpellier4-2Rodez
  • 2026-02-20Rodez1-0Montpellier
  • 2025-10-31Montpellier2-0Rodez
  • 2025-07-18Montpellier0-2Rodez
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Montpellier or Draw
74%
Confidence

Montpellier have established themselves as one of the most resilient sides in Ligue 2 this season, suffering just one defeat across eight matches while recording four victories and three draws. Their defensive structure has been central to that success, conceding only five goals in eight matches and keeping five clean sheets. Away from home, they have secured two wins and one draw from four fixtures, allowing only four goals.

Rodez have found life much tougher, losing five of their eight league games and conceding 18 times without recording a single clean sheet. At home, they have posted one win, one draw, and two defeats in league action, conceding eight goals in four matches. While Rodez did win the league meeting between the sides in February 2026 by a 1-0 scoreline, Montpellier hold the historical advantage with six wins from nine recorded encounters.

Montpellier's ability to consistently collect points and limit opposition scoring makes backing them to win or draw the most solid probabilistic approach for this contest.

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Published October 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.