BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
Referee
I. Mammadov
Form

Recent form

Şamaxı FK
52Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Araz
15Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Şamaxı FK welcome Araz for round six of the Premyer Liqa season, looking to build on a solid run of form. The hosts currently sit seventh in the standings with six points from five matches, having recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat while conceding just five goals.

Araz find themselves in eleventh place with two points, still seeking their first league victory after two draws and three losses. Their away form has been particularly testing, having suffered defeats against Neftchi Baku and Qarabag while conceding eight goals across those two trips.

Despite Araz enduring a difficult start to the current campaign, historical meetings between these two sides tell a distinct story. Across seven recorded head-to-head fixtures, Araz have never lost to Şamaxı FK, winning five and drawing two, with every single encounter producing under 2.5 total goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. All seven recorded head-to-head meetings between Şamaxı FK and Araz produced under 2.5 goals, with an average of 1.43 goals per game
  2. Both teams have scored in only 28.6 percent of their previous meetings
  3. Şamaxı FK have kept two clean sheets in their last three league outings, including two 0-0 draws
  4. Araz remain winless in the league this season with two draws and three losses from five matches
  5. Araz are undefeated against Şamaxı FK across seven head-to-head encounters, winning five and drawing two
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Şamaxı FK at homeAraz away
—
Played
4
—
W-D-L
0-0-4
—
Scored /game
1
—
Conceded /game
3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Zira9015
5Kapaz8014
6Turan8+214
7Şamaxı FK8+313
8Sumqayıt8-18
9Qabala9-117
10Imisli FK8-67
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)9-123
12ArazRelegation - I Liqa9-122
History

Head-to-head

0
Şamaxı FK
2
Draws
5
Araz

Araz have won 5 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 1.4 goals a game, only 0% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-18Şamaxı FK0-1Araz
  • 2025-12-21Araz2-0Şamaxı FK
  • 2025-09-27Şamaxı FK1-1Araz
  • 2025-05-17Şamaxı FK0-1Araz
  • 2025-03-14Araz1-1Şamaxı FK
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Every single one of the seven previous head-to-head meetings between Şamaxı FK and Araz has finished with under 2.5 goals, averaging just 1.43 goals per match. Şamaxı FK have maintained a tight defensive record this season, conceding only five goals in five games and recording two clean sheets, including two goalless draws against Qabala and Turan. Although Araz have conceded heavily against top sides like Neftchi Baku and Qarabag, their direct clashes with Şamaxı FK consistently produce tight, low-scoring contests with both teams failing to score in five of their seven encounters.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.